Frost & Sullivan released '2026 China Ultra-Precise Optical Components Definitive Polishing''Frost & Sullivan Frost & Sullivan China the "LeadLeo Research Institute the Big Data & AI Enterprise Services"'
‘2026 Independent Industry Research Report on China’s Ultra-High Precision Deterministic Optical Polishing Equipment Market’
Ultra-high precision optical elements deterministic polishing equipment is a type of high-end optical manufacturing equipment that uses computer numerical control and ultra-high precision metrology to remove material in a precisely controllable manner based on a preset surface-figure model, achieving nanometer- and even sub-nanometer-level figure accuracy and ultra-smooth surfaces. It offers quantifiable removal, predictable processing, closed-loop figure convergence, and extremely low subsurface damage. As the defining technology platform that distinguishes modern fabrication from traditional experience-based hand polishing, it is the core foundational equipment that supports supply-chain autonomy in high-end optics. It is widely used in semiconductor lithography, aerospace and space-borne optics, large scientific facilities, high-end scientific instruments, and advanced medical optics. Classified by material-removal mechanism, the equipment includes contact and non-contact systems, such as magnetorheological finishing (MRF) machines, computer-controlled optical surfacing (CCOS) machines, and ion beam figuring (IBF) machines.
At present, market growth is driven by three factors: the domestic lithography industry is entering a significant breakthrough phase, where the stringent requirements for sub-nanometer figure accuracy and near-zero subsurface damage in DUV/EUV projection lenses and illumination optics make the combination of “MRF high-efficiency pre-polishing plus IBF atomic-level final shaping” an indispensable process; commercial space and large scientific facilities are moving toward large-scale deployment, rapidly increasing demand for large-aperture lightweight components and difficult-to-machine materials like silicon carbide; and overseas equipment is subject to export controls under the U.S. Export Administration Regulations (EAR), where dual-use items such as ECCN 2B002 face long delivery cycles and slow maintenance responses. Combined with the significantly increased localization rate of core components including high-precision ion sources and magnetorheological fluids, this has accelerated the adoption of domestic equipment in high-end applications. China’s semiconductor equipment sales increased from $18.70 billion in 2021 to $49.60 billion in 2025, and the commercial satellite market increased from RMB 19.34 billion to RMB 82.98 billion, providing fundamental demand support.
The total size of China’s ultra-high precision optical elements deterministic polishing equipment market grew from RMB 360 million in 2021 to RMB 3.42 billion by 2030, representing approximately 9.5 times growth. From 2021 to 2025, the market size increased from RMB 360 million to RMB 910 million at a CAGR of 26.3%; from 2026 to 2030, the market is expected to grow from RMB 1.11 billion to RMB 3.42 billion at a CAGR of 32.5%. In specific sub-sectors, the IBF machine market grew from RMB 410 million in 2025 to RMB 1.50 billion in 2030, the MRF machine market from RMB 250 million to RMB 1.00 billion, and the CCOS machine market from RMB 250 million to RMB 920 million, all showing rapid growth.
Ultra-high precision deterministic optical polishing equipment is a type of high-end optical manufacturing equipment that uses computer numerical control and ultra-high precision metrology to remove material in a precisely controllable manner according to a preset surface-figure model, achieving nanometer- and even sub-nanometer-level figure accuracy and ultra-smooth surfaces. It provides quantifiable removal, predictable processing, closed-loop figure convergence, and extremely low subsurface damage. As the defining technology platform that distinguishes modern fabrication from traditional experience-based hand polishing, it is the core foundational equipment that supports supply-chain autonomy in high-end optics. It is widely used in semiconductor lithography, aerospace and space-borne optics, large scientific facilities, high-end scientific instruments, and advanced medical optics. Classified by material-removal mechanism, the equipment includes contact and non-contact systems, such as magnetorheological finishing (MRF) machines, computer-controlled optical surfacing (CCOS) machines, and ion beam figuring (IBF) machines.
Market growth is driven by three key factors: the domestic lithography industry is entering a significant breakthrough phase, where the stringent requirements for sub-nanometer figure accuracy and near-zero subsurface damage in DUV/EUV projection lenses and illumination optics make the combination of “MRF high-efficiency pre-polishing plus IBF atomic-level final shaping” an indispensable process; commercial space and large scientific facilities are moving toward large-scale deployment, rapidly increasing demand for large-aperture lightweight components and difficult-to-machine materials like silicon carbide; and overseas equipment is subject to export controls under the U.S. Export Administration Regulations (EAR), where dual-use items such as ECCN 2B002 face long delivery cycles and slow maintenance responses. Combined with the significantly increased localization rate of core components including high-precision ion sources and magnetorheological fluids, this has accelerated the adoption of domestic equipment in high-end applications. China’s semiconductor equipment sales increased from $18.70 billion in 2021 to $49.60 billion in 2025, and the commercial satellite market increased from RMB 19.34 billion to RMB 82.98 billion, providing fundamental demand support.
China’s ultra-high precision deterministic optical polishing equipment market grew from RMB 360 million in 2021 to a projected RMB 3.42 billion by 2030, representing approximately 9.5 times growth. From 2021 to 2025, the market size increased from RMB 360 million to RMB 910 million at a CAGR of 26.3%; from 2026 to 2030, the market is expected to grow from RMB 1.11 billion to RMB 3.42 billion at a CAGR of 32.5%. In specific sub-sectors, the IBF machine market grew from RMB 410 million in 2025 to a projected RMB 1.50 billion in 2030, the MRF machine market from RMB 250 million to RMB 1.00 billion, and the CCOS machine market from RMB 250 million to RMB 920 million, all showing rapid growth.
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