Frost & Sullivan: Stock repurchases can send a positive signal to the market and stabilize market expectations

Frost & Sullivan: Stock repurchases can send a positive signal to the market and stabilize market expectations

2023/12/11

沙利文:股票回购可以向市场传递积极信号,稳定市场预期

The intensive repurchases by A-share listed companies continue. Data shows that as of the time of publication, A-share companies have issued a total of 1,731 announcements related to repurchase plans within the year, with a proposed maximum repurchase amount reaching 90.952 billion yuan. Since November alone, 102 companies have issued announcements related to repurchase plans, with an expected maximum repurchase amount of 7.503 billion yuan, which is 3.8 times that of the same period in October.

How do you view the recent surge in share repurchases by listed companies controlled by central state-owned enterprises? What market signals are conveyed by the tangible support? From the perspective of the A-share market, in terms of the purpose of share repurchases, they are mainly used for stock incentives, employee stock ownership plans, and other measures. What are the advantages and disadvantages of using share repurchases for equity incentives? Looking at the international market, listed companies typically cancel their repurchased shares. What positive impacts will this have on the company and shareholders? Why do there be significant differences between the international market and the A-share market regarding the purpose of share repurchases? How should the A-share market better guide the share repurchase behavior of listed companies? Wang Gengye, Executive Director for Greater China at Frost & Sullivan (hereinafter referred to as 'Frost & Sullivan'), was interviewed by 'Securities Daily' to discuss the above topics.

Securities Daily

 

How do you view the recent surge in share repurchases by central state-owned enterprises holding listed companies? What market signals are conveyed by this substantial financial support?

Wang Gengye

Executive Director, Greater China, Frost & Sullivan

How to view it:

 

The 'repurchase tide' has positive implications for listed companies themselves, investors, and even the entire capital market.

 

a) For listed companies, repurchases can convey positive signals related to the company's operations and cash flow to the market, stabilizing market expectations;

 

b) For investors, after a listed company repurchases shares, financial indicators such as the company's net assets per share and earnings per share improve, indirectly enhancing investment value;

 

c) For the capital market, regular buybacks by listed companies can enhance investor confidence, improve the quality of listed companies, and promote the stable development of the capital market.

 

Market signals:

 

The repurchase of listed companies controlled by central state-owned enterprises, as a means of market value management, sends the following signals to the market:

 

a) Enhancing market confidence: The central enterprises' share repurchase indicates their confidence in their future development. This move is intended to support the market with practical actions and also helps to boost investors' confidence in the overall market;

 

b) Enhance the company's attractiveness: A buyback action can increase the company's attractiveness, indicating that management believes the company's stock is undervalued and worthy of holding. This can attract more investors and potential shareholders;

 

c) Protecting shareholder rights and interests: Repurchases can reduce the market liquidity of stocks, thereby increasing the stock price per share and protecting the rights and interests of existing shareholders.

 

From the perspective of A-share markets, the main uses for repurchasing stocks are stock incentives, employee stock ownership plans, and other measures. Some market views suggest that although this move will further motivate senior executives and core employees, it may not necessarily benefit all shareholders of the company. What is your opinion on this view? (Or what are the advantages and disadvantages of using repurchased stocks for equity incentives?)

 

Positive:

 

a) Enhancing shareholder value: Repurchasing shares can increase earnings per share, thereby boosting the company's stock price and increasing shareholders' wealth;

 

b) Enhancing Employee Morale and Motivating Work Efforts: Buying back shares as an employee incentive method can increase employee participation and loyalty, thereby stimulating work motivation;

 

c) Enhancing the resilience of the company's equity: Using repurchased shares for equity incentives and employee stock ownership plans can enhance the resilience of the company's equity, making the stock stable and risk-resistant in the capital market. It enables the company to maintain flexibility in the face of various market uncertainties and pressures.

 

Spread:

 

a) Stock price fluctuations: The repurchase of shares may lead to stock price volatility, which can have an unstable impact on investors and employees;

 

b) Financial pressure: Large-scale share repurchases may place certain pressure on the company's financial condition, especially if the company does not have sufficient cash flow to support the repurchase plan;

 

c) Potential Abuse: If used improperly, repurchases of shares can be abused, leading to financial instability and damage to shareholders' equity.

 

Looking at the international market, listed companies usually cancel their repurchased shares. What positive impacts will this have on the company and shareholders?

 

The cancellation and repurchase of shares by listed companies controlled by central state-owned enterprises have positive effects on the company, including enhancing investor confidence, maintaining the company's image, optimizing the financial structure, improving the equity structure, and achieving flexible allocation of funds.

 

a) Enhance investor confidence and maintain the company's image: After the repurchase and cancellation of shares, the company's share capital decreases, while its net assets and total earnings remain unchanged. This will lead to an increase in net assets per share and earnings per share, thereby stimulating the stock price to rise. This measure can maintain the stability of the company's stock price, help improve investor confidence, and enhance the company's reputation;

 

b) Improve the equity structure: By repurchasing shares and canceling them, the company can manage its equity structure more meticulously, thereby increasing the proportion of remaining shareholders in the total company capitalization and reducing the dilutive effect relative to the total capitalization. This is expected to increase earnings per share and shareholders' equity, while strengthening the corporate governance structure;

 

c) Flexible allocation of funds: Share repurchases provide greater flexibility for the company to manage cash flow and capital structure. The company can use free cash flow for repurchases without having to allocate it towards paying dividends. This enables the company to better balance internal investment projects, debt repayment, and shareholder returns, achieving a more flexible allocation of funds.

 

The repurchase and cancellation of shares by central state-owned enterprises holding listed companies helps to enhance shareholder value.

 

Enhancing shareholder value: When a company repurchases and cancels shares, it usually reduces the number of issued shares, thereby increasing the earnings per share equity. This measure helps to improve important financial indicators such as earnings per share, cash flow per share, and net assets per share, thereby enhancing shareholder value.

 

Overall, why does there be a significant difference between international markets and the A-share market regarding the purpose of stock repurchase? How should the A-share market better guide listed companies' stock repurchase behavior?

Differences between international markets and the A-share market:

 

a) Investor confidence: In the A-share market, companies typically conduct stock repurchases to boost investors' confidence in their stocks, aiming to convey to shareholders a signal that the company believes its stock is undervalued. In contrast, international markets may have different motivations, such as returning excess cash to shareholders or using stock repurchases as part of capital distribution strategies;

 

b) Industry-specific factors: Companies in the A-share market tend to conduct concentrated share repurchases within specific industries to reflect an optimistic outlook on the industry's growth prospects.

 

How to guide:

 

The regulatory authorities have institutionalized the repurchase behavior of listed companies by lowering thresholds and expanding the scope, sending positive signals to guide listed companies to carry out share repurchases reasonably.

 

a) Strengthen supervision: When listed companies conduct share repurchases, regulatory authorities should establish and improve internal control mechanisms, formulate detailed operational plans to prevent insider trading and other improper trading activities, and must not abuse share repurchases to manipulate company stock prices. At the same time, regulatory authorities should strengthen supervision over information disclosure and trading behavior to standardize the repurchase practices of listed companies and further improve the repurchase system of China's capital market;

 

b) Lowering thresholds and expanding scope: The conditions and proportion for stock repurchases should be appropriately relaxed to broaden channels for listed companies to repurchase their shares;

 

c) Guidance for cancellation: To ensure that repurchase policies truly benefit small and medium-sized investors, it is necessary to further guide more listed companies to use stock repurchases for cancellation, in order to stimulate companies' enthusiasm for cancellation-based repurchases.

*This interview was published inSecurities DailyReporters are Hou Jiening and Mao Yirong. The original title was: 'A-share companies have spent 731 billion yuan on repurchases this year, with relatively high repurchase amounts in three industries including basic chemicals'.


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