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COMPANY NEWS
2022/01/06
Executives from Frost & Sullivan attended the 10th event of the New Shanghai Business University Health Research Society and delivered a speech
Executives from Frost & Sullivan attended the 10th event of the New Shanghai Business University Health Research Society and delivered a speech
2022 year 1 month 5 On the afternoon of the same day, the New Shanghai Businessmen's Health Research Society, co-hosted by the New Shanghai Businessmen Federation and Trace Capital, 10 period C9 China Medical Beauty Industry Venture Capital Forum ·No. 3 The roadshow was successfully held, bringing together healthcare innovation companies, investors in the medical industry, and consulting advisors to discuss innovations, investments, and asset securitization in consumer healthcare. They explored the 'appearance value' economic battlefield. Frost & Sullivan Frost & Sullivan Mao Hua, Partner and Managing Director of Frost & Sullivan's Greater China Region, was invited to attend the event and delivered a speech on the market landscape and development trends in the consumer healthcare and medical aesthetics sector.
First of all, Mao Huaibing introduced the overall overview of the medical aesthetics industry to the guests present. He pointed out that the medical aesthetics industry possesses both medical and consumer attributes, with strong regulatory medical aspects ensuring a continuous increase in consumer trust. Adding to this, it has enhanced consumer recognition and can effectively promote the development of formal medical beauty service institutions and R&D companies.
With the rise in per capita disposable income of Chinese residents, the penetration rate of medical beauty in China will continue to increase. 2020 In [year], the per capita disposable income of Chinese residents reached 32,189.0 yuan 2016 Year to 2020 The compound annual growth rate for the year is 7.8% ;estimated 2025 In [year], the per capita disposable income of Chinese residents will further grow to 46,902.4 Yuan. According to a Frost & Sullivan survey, Chinese medical beauty consumers are mainly young women, and the penetration rate of medical beauty consumers is higher in first-tier cities. Currently 20 - 35 Consumers aged 25-34 are the main consumer group, and the Chinese medical beauty market as a whole is showing a trend towards younger demographics. Among various medical beauty projects, non-surgical injectable procedures are favored by consumers due to their low surgical risks, short recovery time, lower prices, and less mental burden. In recent years, the scale of China's medical beauty market has grown rapidly, with the proportion of non-surgical income continuously climbing.
Subsequently, Mao Hua elaborated in detail on the overall market situation of medical beauty injection products. Common medical beauty injection products in China are divided into two categories: medical devices and non-medical devices. The main application items of medical devices include hyaluronic acid, Juvenile Beauty Needle, Youthful Beauty Needle, etc., while botulinum toxin belongs to the category of non-medical devices. Data shows that as the public's acceptance of light medical beauty projects continues to increase, the market for medical beauty injection products in China is growing at a high speed. 2020 In China, the total market scale of medical beauty injection services reached 399 RMB 10 billion, expected 2025 In [year], the market scale of cosmetic injection services in China will further grow to 1,038 RMB 10 billion 2020 Year to 2025 Annual Compound Annual Growth Rate 49.8% .
In addition, although ordinary consumers in China are still more willing to pay a premium for overseas brand products, domestically produced brands such as Huaxi Biotech are 500 - 1,000 Price segments have provided consumers with highly cost-effective products. Therefore, domestic injectable medical beauty products have also occupied a certain market share due to their lower prices compared to imported ones. Moreover, as domestic companies expand their product lines and highlight their cost-effectiveness advantages, the market share and reputation of domestic injectable medical beauty products continue to improve. It is expected that the degree of localization of China's medical beauty injectable product market will continue to increase in the future.
Compared to other medical aesthetic procedures, hyaluronic acid injections have advantages such as a shorter recovery period and better results. The national consumer willingness is high, the industry ecosystem is healthy, and product quality is stable. In recent years, due to the introduction of strict regulatory policies, the number of approved hyaluronic acid injections has gradually stabilized. Under the situation of high terminal prices for hyaluronic acid injections, the profit margins of midstream and downstream service institutions are at a high level in the entire industrial chain. Mao Hua said that with the gradual formation of the concept of light medical aesthetics among Chinese women, the medical beauty market has further expanded, becoming more compliant, with continuous technological progress and price drops. More and more consumers choose hyaluronic acid injections instead of short-term skincare products, which will ensure the sustained growth of the future hyaluronic acid injection market. At the same time, the proportion of domestic sales in China's injectable hyaluronic acid market has increased significantly, mainly contributing to the price increase. With the advancement of domestic technology and the expansion of product lines, localization will become a trend in the future.
The market share of Youthful Beauty Needle and Teenage Beauty Needle has shown a continuous and rapid increase with the launch of new products, and it is expected to replace some of the hyaluronic acid market share in the future. Among them, due to the high global recognition of Ellanse products, they have gained attention three months after their launch on the Chinese mainland as cost-effective products in the light medical aesthetics market. The market scale of 'Teenage Beauty Needle' has grown rapidly, with an estimated value reaching 660 million yuan by 2025. Before 2021, there were no 'Youthful Beauty Needle' products recognized by regulatory authorities in the Chinese market. With the introduction of new products, the market penetration rate of 'Youthful Beauty Needle' is expected to increase, reaching a market scale of 1.6 billion yuan by 2025. Both types of products belong to regenerative collagen products, and due to differences in composition and mechanism of action, there are differences between them in terms of injection depth, operation method, and onset time.
Another category of non-instrumental medical beauty projects - represented by botulinum toxin (Botox) - is widely used in the field of medical aesthetics and has good customer acquisition attributes. For instance, it can be used not only on multiple body parts but also combined with other treatments. It is highly safe, with most common adverse reactions being reversible. Additionally, due to the need for multiple injections to maintain results, the repurchase rate is relatively high, indicating a huge market potential. However, due to the strict approval process for Botox, domestic companies generally adopt a licensing model to shorten product launch times. This model carries certain risks. On the other hand, the production of Botox requires strict standards, demanding transportation conditions, and strong regulatory policies, resulting in relatively high industry barriers. Although these factors have constrained the development of the entire domestic industry to some extent, 'with the increase in consumer penetration and new product approvals for market release, the market scale of Botox injection products in China will continue to maintain medium-high growth over the next five years,' said Mao Hua.
COMPANY NEWS
2022/01/04
Frost & Sullivan attends the First Financial News Little Lion 100 Index launch event and hosts a roundtable discussion
Frost & Sullivan attends the First Financial News Little Lion 100 Index launch event and hosts a roundtable discussion
Innovation Growth & Economy
2021 year 12 month 30 Today, "Innovation-driven Growth & Economic Development" - CBN Little Lion 100 The index release event was successfully held at the Shanghai TV Tower in Shanghai Media Group's headquarters. Yang Yudong, the chief editor of CBN Financial News, delivered a speech on behalf of the organizers. Huang Yuncheng, former deputy director of the Policy Research Office of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, and Yin Yantai, director of the Hua'an Securities Research Institute, gave keynote speeches. Frost & Sullivan Frost & Sullivan Mr. Xu Biao, Executive Director of Frost & Sullivan's Greater China Region, was invited to attend the event and host a roundtable discussion. He joined forces with guests such as Jiang Yuan, Chairman of Zhichun Technology, Fei Zhi, President of GCL Energy Science & Technology, Su Bin, General Manager of Feikai Materials, and Xue Lixin, President of Jingrui Electric Materials, to explore the core driving forces for the growth of small and medium-cap enterprises.
Little lion 100 Indices are selected by CBN after quantitative screening, subjective research, and supplemented by first-hand field investigations. 100 home A Small and medium market value listed companies, aiming to reflect A Companies with healthy financials, steady growth, emphasis on R&D and innovation, and leading growth potential in niche industries 100 Market price performance of small-cap listed companies in China.
Yang Yudong, Chief Editor of CBN
Yang Yudong stated that CBN has always been practicing frontline tracking and research on microeconomic entities in its daily news coverage, deeply feeling the surging momentum of China's high-quality economic development. In this process, we have found that among many 'small but beautiful' listed companies, there are those dedicated to import substitution with hard technology, those leveraging their strengths in strengthening and supplementing chains, as well as tomorrow's stars under the trend of carbon peak. Therefore, CBN has fully launched the 'Little Lion Growth Potential Research Program' and the 'Little Lion Growth Potential Index Project' this year, focusing on these outstanding small and medium-cap listed companies with high growth potential.
Huang Yuncheng, former deputy director of the Policy Research Office of the China Securities Regulatory Commission
The theme shared by Huang Yuncheng is 'Listed Companies are an Important Force in Promoting China's Economic Development'. Huang Yuncheng believes that the most important indicator for evaluating listed companies is market value. Currently, market value is 100 Listed companies with less than 100 million yuan 3000 Home, accounting for 70% - 80% The transformation and upgrading of these listed companies will be the main focus of the entire listed company transformation and upgrading in the future. 100 Yuan to 1000 Yuan billion represents a significant growth potential. Little lion 100 The index mainly studies market capitalization at 50 hundred million ~800 A listed company worth hundreds of millions is currently within this range.
Yin Yantai, Director of Research Institute at Hua'an Securities
Yin Yanji stated in his speech that since the establishment of the Sci-tech Innovation Board, many technology companies have gone public, and in the future, many technology companies may grow into enterprises with market values exceeding one hundred billion. Many technology companies 2017 In [a certain year], the market value was only a few hundred billion, or even just a few hundred million. However, leading enterprises in artificial intelligence and industrial Internet have now steadily reached a market value of hundreds of billions, which started from that time. We are currently at a stage where the industrial era is transitioning into the information age, with new and old technologies replacing each other. The future will be the information age, and the core resource of the information age is data. In the past two years, the growth rate of the global digital economy has far exceeded GDP Growth rate, this is the general trend of the times.
What are the important factors for the growth of small and medium-cap listed companies? How are they different from large-cap enterprises like CATL and WuXi AppTec? By CBN Little Lion 100 At the index release event, Xu Biao, Executive Director of Frost & Sullivan China, discussed with Jiang Yuan, Chairman of Zhichun Technology, Fei Zhi, President of GCL Energy Science & Technology, Su Bin, General Manager of Feikai Materials, Xue Lixin, President of Jingrui Electric Materials, and others the core drivers for the growth of small and medium-cap enterprises.
Roundtable Discussion: Observations on the Growth Potential of Small and Medium Market Cap Enterprises
Jiang Yuan, Chairman of Zhichun Technology, stated that throughout its journey, Zhichun Technology has been most concerned with strategic management and the construction of innovation capabilities. She mentioned that financial resources, core technology, and the ability to acquire high-end talents are the three core competencies that, alongside strategic management capabilities, are of utmost importance.
Xue Lixin, President of Jingrui Electric Materials, believes that the development of Jingrui Electric Materials requires four elements. The first is a market capacity with high-speed development and scalability; the second is products with core competitiveness; the third is a team characterized by wolf-like traits; and the fourth is capital.
Su Bin, General Manager of Feikai Materials, stated that for listed companies to achieve long-term growth, two major elements are needed. One is diversification from downstream industries and diversification of products within the same industry. As an advanced materials enterprise, this is a direction for future growth. Second, for a materials company, independent research and development should be carried out alongside external collaboration.
Fei Zhi, President of GCL Energy Technology Group Co., Ltd., stated that for an enterprise to achieve higher-speed development, there are several characteristics: First and foremost, it is necessary to find the right track; a small track definitely cannot support large-scale operations. Secondly, innovation is essential. Currently, the degree of homogenization is also very high, so there must be a good business model and technological competitiveness. Thirdly, it comes down to the team and mechanisms. Talent is the primary resource, and the mechanism is the fundamental guarantee for leveraging talent's capabilities.
The good wind favours the brave; now is the time to set sail. It is reported that Frost & Sullivan, in collaboration with its strategic partner LeadLeo, Navigator /navigator Plan ” at 2022 Upgrade annually and set off anew. In addition to continuing to assist start-ups and small and medium-sized growing enterprises, the plan will further cover outstanding small and medium-cap listed companies with high growth potential. It will provide companies with the necessary professional knowledge and services for sustainable growth, empower them to upgrade their business models, improve internal efficiency and strategic development, and enable them to quickly establish value advantages.
As of 2021 At the end of the year, Navigator /navigator Plan ” We have helped over a hundred enterprises complete in-depth research, uncover their investment value and growth potential, provide value dissemination services, grasp industry trend dividends, and assist them in achieving all-round growth, expansion, and strengthening. Whether supporting 'Little Lions' or empowering 'Dream Chasers', Frost & Sullivan and LeadLeo always believe in and support the original driving force of the Chinese economy, persist in research-driven strategies, place a heavy emphasis on China, strive with Chinese entrepreneurs and grow together.
MEDIA COVERAGE
2022/01/04
Securities Daily | Intelligent Connected Vehicles: 'Technological Upgrade + Safety Assurance' Collaborate to Drive Industry Development into Fast Lane
Securities Daily | Intelligent Connected Vehicles: 'Technological Upgrade + Safety Assurance' Collaborate to Drive Industry Development into Fast Lane
Frost & Sullivan insights
In 2021, multiple tech giants such as Baidu and Huawei accelerated the construction of intelligent vehicle ecosystems. Recently, the China Intelligent Connected Vehicle Industry Innovation Alliance and the National Intelligent Connected Vehicle Innovation Center released the 'Guidelines for the Construction of a Group Standard System for Intelligent Connected Vehicles', promoting further progress in the industrialization and commercialization of intelligent connected vehicles. This also means that intelligent vehicles will enter a stage of highly networked mass application.
Against this backdrop, how can the penetration rate of L2 new vehicles be improved? How will the integration of intelligent connected vehicle technologies develop? Where is the core of data security? Zhang Zhiwei, Executive Director of Frost & Sullivan Greater China, was interviewed by Securities Daily to analyze the development trend of intelligent connected vehicle technology integration.
Securities Daily
The rapid development of intelligent vehicles is attracting more and more attention.
In 2021, multiple tech giants such as Baidu and Huawei accelerated the construction of intelligent vehicle ecosystems. Recently, the China Intelligent Connected Vehicle Industry Innovation Alliance and the National Intelligent Connected Vehicle Innovation Center released the 'Guidelines for the Construction of a Group Standard System for Intelligent Connected Vehicles', promoting further progress in the industrialization and commercialization of intelligent connected vehicles. This also means that intelligent vehicles will enter a stage of highly networked mass application.
While the level of intelligence is improving, information security issues have also become a 'growth concern' for intelligent connected vehicles. Since the beginning of this year, incidents such as 'information leaks', 'system attacks that alter routes', and others have occurred frequently.
The development of intelligent connected vehicles cannot be separated from information and data. For this reason, it is very important to regulate the industry with laws and regulations and set 'traffic lights' for this hot track.
How can the penetration rate of new L2 vehicles be improved?
What is an intelligent connected vehicle? Simply put, it is the organic combination of connected vehicles and intelligent cars.
At the 2021 World Intelligent Connected Vehicles Conference, Xiao Yaqing, Minister of Industry and Information Technology, stated that the penetration rate of new L2-level passenger vehicle markets has reached 20%, connected vehicle deployments are advancing in an orderly manner, over 3,500 kilometers of roads across the country have been intelligently upgraded, and more than 5 million vehicles are equipped with connected terminal devices.
Ma Tianyi, chief analyst of communications at Minsheng Securities, told the Securities Daily reporter that according to current statistical criteria, intelligent connected passenger vehicles must be equipped with L2-level or higher assisted driving capabilities, as well as features such as vehicle networking and OTA upgrades. Although the proportion of sales of intelligent connected passenger vehicles has fluctuated this year, it is still on an upward trend, with new energy vehicles accounting for more than 30%.
Since the beginning of this year, cities such as Beijing, Shanghai, Chongqing, Guangzhou, Wuxi, Changsha, and Wuhan have successively established intelligent connected vehicle demonstration zones to lead the development and implementation of automotive intelligent networking.
At the same time, the development of intelligent connected vehicles has also received more policy support. The 'Administrative Specifications for Road Testing and Demonstration Applications of Intelligent Connected Vehicles' released on July 27th state that industry institutions and enterprises are supported to conduct road tests on a larger scale and carry out demonstration applications in various scenarios, further promoting data sharing and mutual recognition of results, and encouraging exploration of commercial development models. On September 27th, the 'Three-Year Action Plan for the Construction of New IoT Infrastructure' was issued, which explicitly mentions the creation of a comprehensive monitoring platform for coordinated services of connected vehicles (intelligent connected vehicles) in the field of intelligent transportation, accelerating the construction of application scenarios such as smart parking management and autonomous driving, and promoting the networking and coordination development of urban transportation infrastructure, vehicles, and the environment.
Zhang Zhiwei, Executive Director of Frost & Sullivan Greater China, told the Securities Daily reporter that autonomous driving and intelligent connectivity have redefined automobiles, evolving them from traditional means of travel to a broader concept encompassing mobile spaces. Against the backdrop of automotive intelligence, automotive autonomous driving systems and intelligent cockpits are gradually becoming core elements.
Currently, China's intelligent connected vehicle industry is transitioning from the technology research and development and testing verification phase to a new stage of demonstration applications and large-scale commercial promotion. There is an urgent need to introduce and improve relevant standards. The recently released 'Guidelines for the Construction of the Intelligent Connected Vehicle Group Standard System' further constructs the Chinese intelligent connected vehicle group standard system, increasing the number of group standard items to 212 and research projects to 13 based on the 2020 version.
Wang Zhao, Director of the Standardization Institute at China Automotive Technology and Research Center Co., Ltd., stated that standards are a double-edged sword. The industry should pay attention to technological progress, industrial development, and government management needs, fully considering the scope and urgency of standard demands driven by technological and industrial development, and determine through what form and level of standards to meet the diverse needs of intelligent connected vehicles.
Through the formulation and launch of standards, as well as capital and technological investments by automakers, the market penetration rate of new L2 passenger vehicles will steadily increase in 2022.
How to integrate intelligent technologies?
New forces in the automotive industry are emerging with great momentum. With NIO, Li Auto, and Xpeng successively listing overseas, they have not only sparked a startup boom for new energy vehicles in China but also promoted the popularization of intelligent connected vehicles. Against this backdrop, traditional automakers are also accelerating their pace of upgrading vehicles towards intelligence.
"In the future, 'software' may be the key determinant of a car's productivity. Currently, new force automakers are taking the lead in electrification and intelligence, while traditional automakers have weaker software capabilities and temporarily need to rely on third-party technology companies to provide solutions," said Zhang Zhiwei.
Behind the successive launches of intelligent connected cars by automakers such as BAIC, SAIC, and Changan are internet technology companies like Tencent, Alibaba, and Huawei collaborating with automakers using intelligent technologies and internet resources. Most new car-making forces have started from auxiliary systems and algorithms, continuously making breakthroughs in autonomous driving and human-machine interaction systems.
Xu Hui, secretary of the board of directors of Great Wall Motor, told the Securities Daily reporter that automakers have increasingly recognized the trend of 'software-defined vehicles.' The decoupling of software and hardware, as well as the standardization of parts, will reshape the automotive supply chain. Industry control points shift from manufacturing to software and services. 'Hardware redundancy design + software iteration capability' will become a watershed between technology mobility companies and traditional automobile manufacturers.
Xu Hui stated, 'The continuous charging of software within the automotive industry has already emerged. The value composition of intelligent connected vehicles will become hardware, software, and content/services. In the future, it is expected to generate sustainable revenue from the sold cars, re-opening up a new blue ocean market. Automakers need to build a global unified architecture big data platform, create an analysis closed loop around user data, vehicle data, and environmental data, deeply mine data value, and lay the foundation for exploring new business models.'
The development of intelligent connected vehicles is subverting the entire travel market. In terms of hardware, automakers need to control design technology routes and consider how to better carry out vertical integration upstream and downstream to provide a better travel service experience. In software, software has become a new competitive point, with the operating system being at the core of software capabilities, responsible for controlling and managing the hardware and software resources of an entire intelligent vehicle. Better integration of hardware and software, as well as enhancing automakers' own software R&D capabilities, have become new highlights for valuation premiums of automakers.
Electrification, connectivity, and automation have become the development directions for the future automotive industry, and a consensus has been reached within the industry. Digital technologies such as cloud computing, the Internet of Things, 5G, artificial intelligence, autonomous driving, and blockchain will bring new business models to automakers. Xu Hui stated that Great Wall Motor is using emerging technologies to accelerate its transformation from a traditional manufacturing enterprise into a technology-driven mobility company, providing users with a richer travel experience based on automotive software and services.
Under the trend of innovation, how can technology giants be overlooked? In 2021, internet companies flocked into the automotive manufacturing sector, with Baidu, Huawei, Didi Chuxing, Xiaomi, OPPO, and 360 among others entering the market either through cooperation or independent research and development to cross over into the field of vehicle manufacturing. The increasing number of internet technology enterprises has opened up a new situation for the development of intelligent connected vehicles.
Meanwhile, the intelligent connected vehicle industry chain is long, with software and hardware suppliers continuously expanding. These companies have benefited from the demand for intelligent upgrading in the automotive industry, enjoying market dividends and capital favor.
Liu Qi, a senior analyst at LeadLeo Research Institute and a reporter from Securities Daily, said that compared to automakers and Tier 1 suppliers who are keen on internal R&D, technology companies focusing on intelligence can better grasp the evolving trends of the new four modernizations in automotive industry, make forward-looking technology research and development plans, and provide complete automotive electronic solutions for downstream automotive electronics manufacturers and OEMs by integrating upstream chip and other component supplies.
Where is the core of data security?
With the integration of 'mobile internet services + in-vehicle technology', cars are expected to become the largest mobile consumer smart terminals, energy transmission tools, and data processing nodes. Service data related to people, vehicles, and parking lots is experiencing explosive growth.
Although data has become an important strategic resource for automakers' transformation in the next phase, a series of automotive safety issues that arise as a result cannot be ignored.
At the 2021 World Intelligent Connected Vehicles Conference, Chen Luping, Chief Engineer of the China Software Testing and Evaluation Center, released the latest results on intelligent vehicle information security testing: Among the 11 newly released models with security protection measures, wireless network security issues accounted for 73%, reverse engineering of vehicle and mobile terminal apps accounted for 64%, unauthorized access to sensitive data accounted for 45%, and unauthorized access to personal information accounted for 18%...
This result has drawn widespread attention. In fact, since the beginning of this year, various data security issues such as 'user privacy data breaches' have been continuously exposed, causing significant fluctuations in the stock prices of many companies.
Wang Yingmin, Chief Engineer of Datang Telecom Group, believes that 5G communication technology can accelerate the advancement of automotive intelligence and drive the development of application scenarios such as autonomous driving. However, this also poses higher requirements for information security.
Yan Jinghui, a member of the Expert Committee of the China Association of Automobile Circulation, told the Securities Daily reporter that the intelligent connected vehicle industry chain consists of many links, and enterprises have interconnectivity in terms of data. If any link is not properly protected, security issues in the communication field in the past may recur in the automotive sector, potentially even endangering driving safety.
"The so-called intelligent vehicles are currently only in the stage of assisted driving or semi-autonomous driving. The application of 5G in fields such as intelligent driving, intelligent transportation, and connected vehicles is still in the research and development and testing stages, with only a small number being commercially available. However, the intricate application scenarios increase the risk of information leakage," said Jia Xinguang, chief analyst at China Automotive Industry Consulting Development Company, to the Securities Daily reporter.
In terms of enhancing information security levels, enterprises related to the automotive industry chain still have a long way to go. Zhang Xiang, a researcher at the Automotive Industry Innovation Research Center of Northern Polytechnical University, suggests, "R&D personnel should analyze data to reduce potential hazards, appropriately lower the accuracy of data collected by in-vehicle cameras, try to process enterprise data locally after collection, and promptly delete and patch vulnerabilities. Unified management of scrapped vehicle data should be carried out to improve security. Relevant departments should establish unified standards for companies in the automotive, internet, travel, and other industry chains."
In fact, the management of data security for intelligent connected vehicles is being further strengthened. In May this year, the Cyberspace Administration of China issued a notice soliciting public opinions on the 'Several Provisions on the Security Management of Automotive Data (Draft for Soliciting Opinions)', further clarifying issues such as responsible entities, data scope, collection methods, privacy protection, and data export. In June, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology issued the 'Notice on Strengthening Network Security Work for Connected Vehicles (Intelligent Connected Vehicles) (Draft for Soliciting Opinions)', proposing that relevant enterprises should take management and technical measures to strengthen the security protection of vehicles, networks, platforms, and data in accordance with the standards related to connected vehicle network security and data security.
"In the coming year, detailed specifications will also be introduced for information collection in intelligent connected vehicles. Issues such as how to define responsibility in case of accidents by autonomous vehicles led by machines are also expected to be resolved," Jia Xinguang believes.
*This article is reprinted from 'Securities Daily', with reporters Jia Li and Guo Jichuan. The original title was 'Intelligent Connected Vehicles: 'Technology Upgrade + Safety Assurance' Jointly Push the Industry into Fast Lane'.
MEDIA COVERAGE
2022/01/04
Blue Whale Finance | The high difficulty of listing coupled with insufficient source innovation is an embarrassment. Is the 'future has come' for local innovative drugs or has the 'dividend' ended?
Blue Whale Finance | The high difficulty of listing coupled with insufficient source innovation is an embarrassment. Is the 'future has come' for local innovative drugs or has the 'dividend' ended?
Frost & Sullivan insights
"Innovation" has become the top keyword in the pharmaceutical industry in 2021. Looking at the approval of new drugs, this year at least 61 new drugs have been approved for marketing by the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) of China, including 25 locally developed drugs. Both the overall number of approvals and the proportion of domestically innovative drugs have reached record highs. In terms of financing data, the COVID-19 pandemic has catalyzed a surge in healthcare capital, leading to a significant increase in financing events and amounts in 2021.
What stage is China's innovative drugs at? What problems in the R&D of innovative drugs in China need to be urgently addressed? How do multinational companies (MNCs) respond to China's innovation wave? For the future, is it "the future has come" or "the dividend has ended"? Zhu Yi, Executive Director of the Healthcare Business Unit in Greater China at Frost & Sullivan (referred to as 'Frost & Sullivan'), was interviewed by Blue Whale Finance. He discussed with you the development trends of the healthcare industry and the innovative drug market.
Blue Whale Finance
"Innovation" is undoubtedly the top keyword in the pharmaceutical industry in 2021.
In terms of new drug approvals, at least 61 new drugs have been approved for marketing by the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) of China this year, including 25 locally developed drugs. Both the overall number of approvals and the proportion of domestically innovative drugs have reached record highs. In terms of financing data, domestically, the total financing for China's healthcare industry reached 100.234 billion yuan in the first half of 2021, a year-on-year increase of about 78.72%. The COVID-19 pandemic has catalyzed the influx of healthcare capital, leading to a significant increase in financing events and amounts in 2021.
However, alongside the rise of innovative drugs, there is also a problem of homogenization of innovative targets. In 2020, the Drug Clinical Trial Registration and Information Publicity Platform registered a total of 2,602 clinical trials. However, among the top 10 target varieties registered for clinical trials, the total number of varieties reached as many as 389, accounting for over 10%, indicating severe competition.
In the face of the vigorous development of innovative drugs in China, how are multinational pharmaceutical companies (MNCs) headquartered in China actively responding? It is evident that they are increasingly willing to invest resources in China's innovation sector, whether it be in clinical BD, incubation, or investment.
In 2021, what stage is China's innovative drugs at? What problems in the R&D of innovative drugs in China need to be addressed urgently? How do multinational companies (MNCs) respond to China's innovation wave? For the future, is it 'the future has come' or 'the dividend has ended'?
With favorable policies, the approval rate of domestic innovative drugs reached a new high in 2021.
Since the reform of drug review in 2015, the policy side has continuously released positive signals to promote the adjustment of the domestic pharmaceutical industry structure and technological innovation. With the deepening reform of the drug approval system, a series of policy combinations such as the pilot program for drug marketing authorization holders, quality and efficacy consistency evaluation of generic drugs, and dynamic adjustment mechanisms of medical insurance catalogs have been introduced. These have completely changed issues such as insufficient R&D resources, slow review progress, low bidding efficiency, high hospitalization difficulty, and difficulties in connecting with medical insurance in the traditional pharmaceutical industry. They have greatly accelerated the rapid market launch of innovative drugs in China, promoted centralized procurement of drugs, and medical insurance payment processes. This has completely overturned the original R&D and sales model dominated by generic drugs in the Chinese pharmaceutical industry, and since then, the era of pharmaceutical innovation in China has developed vigorously.
From the perspective of approval status, according to incomplete statistics by Blue Whale Finance reporters, since 2021 (December 29), at least 61 new drugs have been approved for marketing by the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) of China. Among them, there are 25 domestically produced and 36 imported new drugs. Compared with previous years, both in terms of overall approval status and the proportion of domestically innovative drugs, this year has set a new historical high. In comparison, in 2017, a total of 39 new drugs were approved, including 4 domestically produced and 36 imported ones; in 2018, there were a total of 53 new drugs approved, including 12 domestically produced and 41 imported ones; in 2019, there were a total of 54 new drugs approved, including 14 domestically produced and 40 imported ones; in 2020, there were a total of 48 new drugs approved, including 23 domestically produced and 25 imported ones. It can be seen that in 2017, the number of imported innovative drugs approved was significantly higher than that of domestic innovative drugs. However, today, due to various forms such as independent research and development and authorized introduction by local enterprises, the R&D progress is gradually aligning with international standards.
Data source: Compiled by Blue Whale Finance reporter
This year, the breakthroughs in some cutting-edge technologies have attracted strong industry attention upon approval for market launch. For instance, two CAR-T therapies approved domestically this year, from Fosun Kite and WuXi AppTec, respectively, are novel tumor immunotherapy methods that can be precise, rapid, efficient, and potentially cure cancer. The attention paid to these not only lies in their anticipated therapeutic efficacy but also in their often-millions-dollar treatment costs. How to commercialize these is a topic that high-value innovative therapies face next.
In addition, the COVID-19 pandemic continues, and drug breakthroughs remain a hot topic of concern. On December 8th, the National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) of China announced that it had emergency approved the registration applications for the combination therapy drugs Anbalimab Injection (BRII-196) and Remdesivir Monotherapy Injection (BRII-198), which are subsidiaries of Tengsheng Bio-Tech Group Co., Ltd. The country has finally welcomed its first independently developed neutralizing antibody combination therapy, achieving a zero breakthrough. In terms of funding, according to the prediction of Industrial Securities, the commercial market space for neutralizing antibody drugs for treating COVID-19 can reach $6.9 billion to $14.6 billion (RMB 44.8 billion to RMB 94.9 billion), indicating broad profit margins for neutralizing antibodies. Whether in terms of social attention or capital preference, the development of COVID-19 drugs undoubtedly touches the nerves of the public and capital.
In China, multiple COVID-19 drugs are racing against each other. The neutralizing antibody therapy DXP604, jointly developed by the team of Xie Xiaoliang from Peking University and Danxu Biotech, is undergoing phase II clinical trials in China; Junshi Biosciences has three COVID-19 treatment drugs advancing, including two neutralizing antibody therapies and one oral medication; in terms of oral medications, Azvudine, developed by Henan Normal University, is currently conducting phase III clinical trials in China, Brazil, and Russia, aiming to apply for conditional approval for marketing in December; Pekluramide, a promising drug developer, is conducting international multi-center phase III clinical trials in China, the United States, and Brazil, and has already obtained an Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) in Uruguay.
China and global healthcare financing reach new highs, with innovation in China moving closer to First-in-Class status
According to the statistical analysis by Deng Yunting, an analyst at LeadLeo Research Institute, with the changes in the pandemic, the healthcare sector has seen broad application prospects, high risk resistance capabilities, and is more favored by capital markets. In 2020, global healthcare financing reached a record high, a year-on-year increase of 53%. In the second quarter of 2021, global financing amounted to as high as $31.224 billion, a year-on-year increase of 68.10%.
According to data compiled by the 'LeadLeo' research institute, in China, the total financing for the healthcare industry reached 100.234 billion yuan in the first half of 2021, a year-on-year increase of about 78.72%. In 2020, the total investment and financing for the healthcare industry reached 180.208 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 71%. Due to the short-term tightening of funds caused by the COVID-19 pandemic in the first half of 2020, financing projects for the healthcare industry dropped significantly. With the improvement in pandemic control, funds surged into the healthcare industry in the second half of the year, resulting in 470 financing events and raising over 100 billion yuan, bringing the total financing for 2020 to as high as 180.208 billion yuan.
Data source: LeadLeo Research Institute
Deng Yunting stated that biopharmaceuticals, internet healthcare, medical informatization, and the IVD field are hot investment and financing topics in global healthcare. In terms of biomedicine, cell and gene therapy, PROTAC, and ADC drugs have become hotspots. Following small molecule and antibody drugs, cell and gene therapy is expected to lead the next wave of treatment technologies. With products such as CAR-T being approved in China one after another, the market size for cell and gene therapy (CGT) in China is expected to reach $2.59 billion by 2025, with a CAGR (compound annual growth rate) of up to 276% from 2020 to 2025. The protein degradation targeting conjugate (PROTAC) track is poised to emerge, with Sequoia, Honghui, Tonghe Yucheng, and others investing early in related innovative pharmaceutical companies, and many Chinese pharmaceutical companies have also made arrangements. The global ADC drug market is rapidly expanding, with a significant acceleration in product launch speed in the past two years. China's ADC research pipeline is also poised to emerge, including the independently developed vedotinib by Rongchang Biotech, which was approved in June 2021, and the Chinese ADC market is about to enter a golden period.
Regarding the question of what stage China's innovative drugs are in, Zhang Xiao, a partner at Yikai Capital and head of the pharmaceutical and biotechnology group, stated that China's R&D of innovative drugs started with generic drugs, went through the Me-too and Me-better phases, and is currently in a transitional period towards Best-in-Class, while also standing at a critical juncture for transitioning to First-in-Class.
"When Chinese innovative drugs first started, although domestic companies had accumulated some experience in small molecule generic drugs, they still lagged far behind overseas in terms of talent, technology, and regulatory policies. The capital market was also not fully developed, and innovation mainly focused on the research and development of Me-too drugs, which could be 10 years or more behind original research drugs. From 2010 to 2015, Chinese innovative drugs entered a transformation period, with overseas talents returning to China with R&D experience to join the wave of innovation. The time gap between Fast-Follow drugs and original research drugs was shortened to within 5 years, and molecules with the potential for Best-in-Class emerged. After 2015, the Chinese innovative drug market flourished, with review and approval gradually aligning with international standards. Chinese innovative drugs began to enter overseas markets, several products reached cooperation agreements with major international pharmaceutical companies, and capital reached an unprecedented level," said Zhang Xiao.
Zhang Xiao stated: Currently, China's innovative drugs are still in the transition period to Best-in-Class status. However, it should be noted that the differentiated R&D of drugs targeting the same target has high technical barriers. True B-I-C (Breakthrough-Into-Class) innovation should ultimately reflect differences sufficient to alter medication choices during actual clinical treatment applications. Taking PD-1 as an example, the current market competition is more about commercial layout. In terms of B-I-C drug innovation, Chinese innovative drugs still face challenges but also have tremendous opportunities.
Target homogenization is evident, and a lack of source innovation is caused by multiple factors
The breakthrough of innovative drugs in China must overcome the homogenization of innovation targets. On November 10th, the Center for Drug Evaluation of the National Medical Products Administration released the 'Annual Report on the Current Status of Clinical Trials for New Drug Registration in China (2020)', which is the first report to comprehensively summarize and analyze the current status of clinical trials for new drug registration in China.
The Report points out that the number of new drug clinical trials and the variety of drugs in China have increased significantly compared to previous years. At the same time, Class 1 new drugs account for a relatively high proportion. However, the distribution of drug targets and indications is relatively concentrated, indicating that while new drug clinical trials are developing rapidly in China, there is also a problem of homogenization in clinical trials.
The report shows that in 2020, the Drug Clinical Trial Registration and Information Publicity Platform registered a total of 2602 clinical trials. However, the top 10 target drugs registered for clinical trials were PD-1, CYP51A1, VEGFR, PD-L1, DNA, EGFR, microtubule, HER2, GLP-1R, and JAK1, with a total number of 389 varieties, accounting for more than 10%.
In terms of the number of clinical trials, the aforementioned top 10 targets also have a highly concentrated clinical presence. Among them, more than 60 clinical trials have been conducted for targets such as PD-1, VEGFR, and PD-L1, with nearly 100 clinical trials targeting the PD-1 target alone.
Additionally, in terms of indications, clinical trials are mainly concentrated in areas such as anti-tumor and anti-infection. The indications for biologics and chemical drugs are primarily anti-tumor, accounting for 42.1% and 47.3%, respectively.
Zhu Yi, Executive Director of the Healthcare Business Unit at Frost & Sullivan Greater China, pointed out that although China has a rich pipeline of innovative drugs, there is serious homogenization. Taking PD-1/L1 inhibitors as an example, as of December 28, 2021, the Chinese NMPA had approved 11 products, including up to seven domestically produced innovative varieties, which is the highest number in the world. Similar phenomena are also occurring in the research and development of other popular targets. Homogeneous competition has led to waste of innovative R&D resources and indirect encroachment on the R&D resources for other clinical needs. Therefore, how to guide the rational allocation of innovative R&D resources will be an important matter for China's innovative development.
Regarding the issue of innovation homogenization, Zhang Xiao interprets the concentration on the research and development of popular targets as a lack of source innovation. He points out that the current lack of source innovation is the result of multiple dimensions influencing it. Firstly, there is still a gap between China's scientific research and translational levels compared to overseas, with the university research evaluation system being biased towards projects with lower risks and clear outputs. The average conversion rate of effective patents into products for industries is less than 10%.
Secondly, payment-side bottlenecks limit the flow of capital towards source innovation. In the United States, small enterprises lead innovation, with multinational pharmaceutical companies supporting them through incubation or product introduction while taking on R&D risks. MNCs add and terminate pipelines at a similar rate each year, making high R&D risk a norm. Currently, the cooperation of leading large pharmaceutical companies in China mainly focuses on mature products, increasing the pressure on biotech companies to invest in clinical manpower and funds.
Finally, at the capital end, the proportion of venture capital funds used in China to support incubation and transformation is much lower than that of leading global biopharmaceutical countries. At the same time, the capital market's ability to absorb clinical failures is still relatively low, with the primary and secondary markets essentially tending towards risk aversion, resulting in certain financial pressure on source innovation.
The changes of giants under China's innovation
Driven by innovation in China, for multinational pharmaceutical companies (MNCs), the Chinese market and innovation are becoming increasingly important. It can be seen that they are increasingly willing to invest resources in China's innovation, whether it is in clinical BD, incubation, investment, or other aspects.
In terms of clinical practice, China has gradually become part of the global clinical trials conducted by multinational corporations (MNCs). Novartis announced an adjustment to its R&D strategy in China, planning to make Shanghai's R&D center a global excellence center for early clinical development of drugs on Novartis' R&D pipeline. Boehringer Ingelheim launched the China In and China Key projects, defaulting to include all Boehringer Ingelheim's early clinical and global registration studies in China, enabling China to submit drug marketing applications simultaneously with the United States, the European Union, and Japan.
In terms of product BD, taking Amgen's strategic cooperation with BeiGene on multiple products as an example, in 2020, MNC accelerated its cooperation with Chinese pharmaceutical companies both through license-in and license-out. Numerous collaborations such as Roche's license-out deal for the development of a universal CAR-T and TCB bispecific antibody with Innovent Biologics, as well as AbbVie's license-in deal for the introduction of the Tianjing CD47 monoclonal antibody, reflect MNC's recognition of the R&D and execution capabilities of Chinese pharmaceutical companies.
In terms of incubation, more and more multinational corporations (MNCs) are starting to establish innovation incubators in China, deeply participating in Chinese innovation. Roche's accelerator located in Zhangjiang, Shanghai is the first accelerator independently established and operated by Roche globally. Startups that join can receive full-chain resource support from Roche, ranging from early research and development to later commercialization, as well as opportunities for financial support such as research funds. Similar incubators include Merck Innovation Center and Johnson & Johnson's JLABS incubator.
In terms of investment, MNCs participate in the Chinese innovative drug market through direct investment or by investing in funds. The Global Healthcare Industry Fund jointly established by AstraZeneca and CICC Capital is AstraZeneca's first healthcare industry fund raised globally and has so far been the largest in scale. Sanofi has made strategic investments in Kite Pharma Innovation Fund, indirectly supporting Chinese healthcare startups.
The future is promising
Regarding the prospects for where future innovative drugs will go, Zhang Xiao stated that resource influx, crowded competition tracks, full-fledged competition, and rational capital returns are inevitable stages for every emerging industry. Continuous experimentation and trial-and-error are also signs that the research and development of innovative drugs remains active.
He stated that the integration of technologies such as AI with pharmaceuticals in the future is expected to bring new technical means for target discovery and drug development, helping to improve R&D efficiency and success rates. The continuous development of industries such as CXO can also contribute to optimizing resource allocation. There are still vast blue oceans waiting to be explored in specialized tracks like ophthalmology. In very specific areas, there is a smaller gap between Chinese innovative drugs and world-leading levels, and overseas R&D stages are still early, potentially offering opportunities for overtaking on a curve. For example, gene editing, mRNA, and iPSC are fields that have seen many outstanding scientists participating recently, with high capital support and investment.
"Although there is still a long way to go for China's innovative drugs to reach a complete and mature ecosystem, it also harbors countless opportunities, and the future is promising," said Zhang Xiao.
*This article is reprinted from 'Blue Whale Finance', authored by Tu Jun, with the original title 'Review and Outlook | The difficulty of listing as an innovation highlight masks the embarrassment of insufficient source innovation. Is local innovative drug 'the future has come' or 'dividend has ended'?'.
MEDIA COVERAGE
2022/01/01
CGTN|Frost & Sullivan Dr. Wang Xin: The Arrival of RCEP May Boost the Upgrading and Transformation of China's Manufacturing Industry
CGTN|Frost & Sullivan Dr. Wang Xin: The Arrival of RCEP May Boost the Upgrading and Transformation of China's Manufacturing Industry According to Xinhua News Agency, a recent executive meeting of the State Council was held to determine cross-cycle adjustment measures to promote stable foreign trade development; arrangements were made for the implementation of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (RCEP) after its entry into force. The meeting pointed out that through the joint efforts of relevant international and domestic parties, the RCEP will officially come into effect on January 1, 2022. It is necessary to support enterprises to seize the opportunity of the agreement's implementation, enhance their competitiveness in the international market, further improve the level of trade and investment development, and force domestic industrial upgrading. On December 23, 2021, Gao Feng, spokesperson for the Ministry of Commerce, stated at a regular press conference that preparations for the domestic implementation of the RCEP are now complete.
How to interpret China's formal accession to the RCEP? Which industries in China will benefit from the RCEP? After joining the RCEP, what changes are predicted to occur in China's global industrial chain layout? What impact does the RCEP have on China's foreign trade? How does the RCEP guide client enterprises to benefit from tariff reductions and find new opportunities? Dr. Wang Xin, a global partner at Frost & Sullivan (Frost & Sullivan, abbreviated as "Frost & Sullivan") and President of Greater China, recently spoke with the CGTN Global Business program of China International Television about his views on China's accession to the RCEP.
Reporter: What is Frost & Sullivan's interpretation of China's accession to the RCEP on January 1 st ?
Reporter: What is Frost & Sullivan's interpretation of China's official accession to the RCEP on January 1?
Neil Wang, Dr. of Economics, Nanyang Technological University: Thank you for your question. There is no doubt that the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) is important for Asia's regional economic integration and will drive the global economy closely around Asia, Europe, and North America. We believe that China's participation in the RCEP can promote China's international trade and outbound investment in many ways. By leveraging the closed-loop value chain in the RCEP region, we can achieve technological advancement, market integration, and industrial chain upgrading. This will reduce China's trade dependence on the United States and Europe and help further elevate China's international status.
Dr. Wang Xin: Thank you for your question. Undoubtedly, the RCEP is of great significance to the economic integration of the Asian region and will drive the global economy closely centered around Asia, Europe, and North America. We believe that China's accession to the RCEP can promote international trade and foreign investment in various aspects. By utilizing the closed-loop value chain within the RCEP region, it can achieve technological upgrading, market integration, and industrial chain upgrading. This will reduce China's trade dependence on the United States and Europe and help further enhance China's international status.
Reporter: In your opinion, which industries in China will benefit from RCEP?
Reporter: In your opinion, which industries in China will benefit from the RCEP agreement?
Neil Wang, PhD: To promote the upgrading of China's high-end manufacturing industry and enhance China's position in the global supply chain.
Dr. Wang Xin: Promote the industrial upgrading of China's high-end manufacturing industry and enhance China's position in the global supply chain.
The RCEP will help upgrade China's manufacturing industry by improving the quality standards of Chinese products and driving higher-quality development in the economy. The agreement covers international trade and competition, market openness, intellectual property rights, e-commerce, and other aspects. From the perspectives of investment protection, freedom, and convenience, it will have a systematic and comprehensive impact on our foreign trade and investment development. With the upgrade in China's industrial structure and the enhancement of mid-to-high-end manufacturing capabilities, China's manufacturing industry will gradually shift to high-tech, high-value-added sectors in the international division of labor. The RCEP will guide and refine the regional trade division of labor, which is conducive to the extension of China's industrial chain and the upgrading of its value chain.
The RCEP will help upgrade China's manufacturing industry, improve the quality standards of Chinese products, and promote high-quality development of the Chinese economy. The RCEP agreement covers multiple aspects such as international trade and competition, market opening, intellectual property rights, e-commerce, etc., and will have a systematic comprehensive impact on the development of China's foreign trade and investment from perspectives such as investment protection, freedom, and facilitation. With the upgrading of China's industrial structure and the enhancement of the strength of mid- to high-end manufacturing, China's manufacturing industry will gradually shift towards high technology and high added value in the international division of labor. The RCEP will guide and refine regional trade division of labor, which is conducive to the extension of China's industrial chain and the improvement of its value chain.
Reporter: What changes do you expect to happen to China's position in the global industrial chain layout after joining the RCEP?
Reporter: After joining the RCEP, what changes do you predict will occur to China's position in the global industrial chain layout?
Neil Wang, PhD: China will take advantage of the RCEP to promote regional economic integration and global economic and trade cooperation.
Dr. Wang Xin: China will leverage the RCEP to advance regional economic integration and global economic and trade cooperation.
The signing of the RCEP Agreement means that tariffs, tariff barriers, and other trade restrictions of regional member countries will be significantly reduced; trade terms will be fair, reasonable, and transparent, promoting rapid circulation of factors in the region, free and convenient trade and investment, and closer cooperation between industrial chains and supply chains. This is conducive to further expanding China's import and export trade, as well as promoting regional economic integration.
The signing of the RCEP means that tariffs, tariff barriers, and other trade restrictions among member countries within the region will be significantly reduced; trade terms will become more fair, reasonable, and transparent. This will promote rapid factor flow within the region, free and convenient trade and investment, closer cooperation in industrial chains and supply chains, which is conducive to China's further expansion of import and export trade and the integration of regional economies.
Among the 15 RCEP countries, China is the absolute leader in terms of population and GDP, thus placing it in a key position in the value chain cooperation across the entire RCEP region. China has developed a technological lead, and with the labor advantage of ASEAN countries and the natural resources of Australia and New Zealand, a 'world factory' led by China is being formed at an accelerating pace. Multinational companies will prefer to locate their industrial chains in the RCEP region, and China's important position in the global industrial chain pattern will be further consolidated.
Among the RCEP 15 countries, China is definitely leading in terms of population and GDP. Therefore, China holds a key position in value chain cooperation across the entire RCEP region. China has already formed a technological leadership advantage. Leveraging the labor advantages of ASEAN countries and the natural resources of New Australia, a 'world factory' led by China is accelerating its formation. Multinational companies tend to locate their industrial chains in the RCEP region, further consolidating China's important position in the global industrial chain pattern.
Reporter: What are the impacts that foreign trade has brought to China?
Reporter: What impact does the RCEP have on China's foreign trade?
Neil Wang, PhD: From the perspective of foreign relations, the RCEP is conducive to promoting economic and trade cooperation among China, Japan and South Korea, easing trade tensions between China and the US, and reducing dependence on the US.
Dr. Wang Xin: From the perspective of foreign relations, the RCEP agreement is conducive to promoting economic and trade cooperation among China, Japan, and South Korea, alleviating Sino-US trade frictions, and reducing dependence on the US.
Among the 15 countries of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), China, Japan, and South Korea account for approximately 80% of the total economic value. It is expected that cooperation among these three countries will be further improved under the framework of the agreement. Firstly, the RCEP is the first free trade agreement among China, Japan, and South Korea. Over the past decade, the overall trade volume of the three countries fluctuated due to trade frictions between China and the United States. The signing of the RCEP agreement is conducive to promoting smoother and steadier trade among China, Japan, and South Korea. Secondly, increased trade cooperation among the three countries will assist China's trade diversion. While stimulating China's trade and economic growth, the cooperation may reduce China's dependence on the US market, making China more proactive and favorable in Sino-US trade relations to compensate for the reduction in China's foreign trade caused by the friction between the US and China.
Among the RCEP 15 countries, the economies of China, Japan, and South Korea account for about 80%. Under the framework of the agreement, cooperation among these three countries is expected to deepen further. Firstly, RCEP represents the first time that China, Japan, and South Korea have reached a free trade agreement. In the past decade, affected by Sino-US trade frictions, the overall trade volume of the three countries has fluctuated significantly. The signing of the RCEP agreement is conducive to promoting smoother and more stable trade between China, Japan, and South Korea. Secondly, increased trade cooperation among China, Japan, and South Korea will assist in the transfer of China's foreign trade. While promoting China's trade and economic growth, it can help reduce China's dependence on the US market, enabling China to gain more initiative in Sino-US trade relations and compensate for the reduction in China's foreign trade caused by Sino-US trade frictions.
Overall, I believe that the RCEP can make China's existing international supply chain more stable and enhance China's ability to withstand risks, which will have positive effects on China's economic development, security, and stability. At the same time, when each member country can fully leverage its own advantages in factors of production, the RCEP will effectively empower the development of intra-Asia trade cooperation. By adjusting the layout of foreign trade and investment and optimizing resource allocation, member countries will strengthen the critical position of East Asia in the global economy. Thank you.
Overall, we believe that through the RCEP, China's existing international supply chain cooperation can be made more stable, enhancing its ability to resist risks and thus having a positive impact on China's economic development, security, and stability. At the same time, the RCEP will effectively empower trade collaboration within the Asian region. Each contracting party can fully leverage its production factor advantages, optimize resource allocation by adjusting foreign trade and investment layouts, and enhance the key position of East Asian economies in the global economy. Thank you.
Reporter: Thank you very much, Dr. Neil. You have just provided a comprehensive and in-depth explanation from a macro perspective. In fact, we are also very interested in the benefits of RCEP for the development of Chinese companies. Could you please discuss "how can RCEP guide our corporate clients to benefit and explore new opportunities from tariff reduction"?
Reporter: Thank you very much, Dr. Neil. You have just provided a comprehensive and in-depth explanation from a macro perspective. In fact, we are also very interested in the benefits of RCEP for the development of Chinese companies. Could you please discuss "how can RCEP guide our corporate clients to benefit and explore new opportunities from tariff reduction"?
Reporter: Thank you very much, Dr. Neil. You have just provided a comprehensive and in-depth explanation from a macro perspective. In fact, we are also very interested in the benefits of RCEP for the development of Chinese companies. Could you please discuss "how can RCEP guide our corporate clients to benefit and explore new opportunities from tariff reduction"?
Reporter: Thank you very much, Dr. Neil. You have just provided a comprehensive and in-depth explanation from a macro perspective. In fact, we are also very interested in the benefits of RCEP for the development of Chinese companies. Could you please discuss "how can RCEP guide our corporate clients to benefit and explore new opportunities from tariff reduction"?
Reporter: Thank you very much, Dr. Neil. You have just provided a comprehensive and in-depth explanation from a macro perspective. In fact, we are also very interested in the benefits of RCEP for the development of Chinese companies. Could you please discuss "how can RCEP guide our corporate clients to benefit and explore new opportunities from tariff reduction"?
Reporter: Thank you very much, Dr. Neil. You have just provided a comprehensive and in-depth explanation from a macro perspective. In fact, we are also very interested in the benefits of RCEP for the development of Chinese companies. Could you please discuss "how can RCEP guide our corporate clients to benefit and explore new opportunities from tariff reduction"?
Reporter: Thank you very much, Dr. Neil. You have just provided a comprehensive and in-depth explanation from a macro perspective. In fact, we are also very interested in the benefits of RCEP for the development of Chinese companies. Could you please discuss "how can RCEP guide our corporate clients to benefit and explore new opportunities from tariff reduction"?
Reporter: Thank you very much, Dr. Neil. You have just provided a comprehensive and in-depth explanation from a macro perspective. In fact, we are also very interested in the benefits of RCEP for the development of Chinese companies. Could you please discuss "how can RCEP guide our corporate clients to benefit and explore new opportunities from tariff reduction"?
Reporter: Thank you very much, Dr. Neil. You have just provided a comprehensive and in-depth explanation from a macro perspective. In fact, we are also very interested in the benefits of RCEP for the development of Chinese companies. Could you please discuss "how can RCEP guide our corporate clients to benefit and explore new opportunities from tariff reduction"?
Reporter: Thank you very much, Dr. Neil. You have just provided a comprehensive and in-depth explanation from a macro perspective. In fact, we are also very interested in the benefits of RCEP for the development of Chinese companies. Could you please discuss "how can RCEP guide our corporate clients to benefit and explore new opportunities from tariff reduction"?
Reporter: Thank you very much, Dr. Neil. You have just provided a comprehensive and in-depth explanation from a macro perspective. In fact, we are also very interested in the benefits of RCEP for the development of Chinese companies. Could you please discuss "how can RCEP guide our corporate clients to benefit and explore new opportunities from tariff reduction"?
Reporter: Thank you very much, Dr. Wang. You have just provided a comprehensive and in-depth interpretation from a macro perspective. In fact, we are also very concerned about the benefits that RCEP can bring to the development of Chinese enterprises. Could you please focus on how 'RCEP guides customer enterprises to benefit from tariff reductions and find new opportunities?'
Neil Wang, PhD: The RCEP's 'tariff-free' status will bring huge development opportunities for Chinese enterprises in various industries.
Dr. Wang Xin: The RCEP 'zero tariffs' will bring tremendous development opportunities to enterprises in various industries across China.
The RCEP 'tariff-free' refers to the ultimate achievement of zero tariffs on over 90% of the goods traded within the RCEP region once the agreement comes into effect, with immediate zero tariffs on some goods or zero tariffs for others within ten years. The introduction of this policy means that member countries will liberalize trade in goods in a short period of time. This enables beneficiary enterprises to significantly reduce production and investment costs, expand markets, and improve competitiveness globally.
RCEP 'zero tariffs' mean that after the agreement comes into effect, more than 90% of the goods traded within the region will eventually achieve zero tariffs, with some goods immediately reduced to zero tariffs and others within ten years. The introduction of this policy implies that the contracting parties will liberalize trade in goods within a relatively short period, which will help reduce production and investment costs for Chinese enterprises, expand market space, and enhance their international competitiveness.
In terms of imports, 'tariff-free' helps enterprises expand the procurement scale of raw materials, automotive, electronics, and other components at much lower costs, better meeting domestic market demands for consumer upgrading, cost reduction, efficiency improvement for enterprises, and supply chain optimization.
From an import perspective, 'zero tariffs' help enterprises expand their procurement of raw materials, auto parts, electronic components, and other parts at lower costs, better meeting domestic market needs for consumption upgrades, reducing costs and increasing efficiency for enterprises, and optimizing the supply chain ecosystem.
Regarding exports, the 'tariff-free' policy will significantly reduce product prices, promoting more Chinese products to be marketed internationally, removing many challenges faced by enterprises in the international markets. Especially for products with export advantages, 'zero tariffs' enable Chinese enterprises to enhance their competitiveness in the global market and replace the market shares of non-member countries, leading to further export expansion.
From an export standpoint, the 'zero tariffs' policy will significantly reduce product prices, drive more Chinese products into international markets, and eliminate many challenges faced by enterprises in the international marketplace. Especially for products with export advantages, 'zero tariffs' will allow Chinese enterprises to enhance their competitiveness in the global market, replace the market share of non-member countries, and further expand exports.
In addition, the RCEP cumulative rules of origin are highly beneficial for small and medium-sized enterprise exports. It stipulates that when goods are exported to any RCEP member country, all intermediate goods and accessories from any RCEP country can be included in the value-added percentage of the origin to meet the regional value content requirement of 40%. This makes it easier for businesses to ensure their products meet RCEP origin requirements, potentially enhancing the flexibility and autonomy of industry chain layout. Therefore, 'zero tariffs' will bring about supply chain optimization, enhanced market discourse, and expanded global influence for Chinese enterprises with broader development prospects.
Furthermore, the RCEP cumulative rules of origin are very beneficial for the exports of small and medium-sized enterprises. They stipulate that when goods are exported to any RCEP member country, intermediate goods and accessories from any RCEP country can be included in the value-added percentage of the origin to meet the final export product's value-added requirement of 40%, greatly lowering the threshold for benefiting from these rules and enhancing the flexibility and autonomy of industry chain layout. Therefore, 'zero tariffs' provide broad development opportunities for Chinese enterprises to optimize their supply chains, enhance their market discourse power, and expand their global influence.
MEDIA COVERAGE
2022/01/01
Securities Daily | Frost & Sullivan Dr. Wang Xin: Shipbuilding will develop towards greener and smarter products, as well as higher-end product structures
Securities Daily | Frost & Sullivan Dr. Wang Xin: Shipbuilding will develop towards greener and smarter products, as well as higher-end product structures
On December 29, CSSC Technology Group Co., Ltd., a listed company under China State Shipbuilding Corporation, and CSSC Power Co., Ltd. respectively issued announcements on major asset restructuring. CSSC Power announced that in order to standardize the competition among diesel engine businesses under China State Shipbuilding Corporation, the company plans to jointly invest with CSSC Industry Group and CSSC Shipbuilding to establish a joint venture. After the completion of this transaction, CSSC Power will hold a controlling stake in the joint venture; CSSC Technology Group issued an announcement stating that it plans to issue shares to acquire part or all of the equity of CSSC Marine Engineering, CSSC Wind Power Development, Xinjiang Haiwei, Luoyang Shuangrui, and Lingjiu Electric, and intends to raise matching funds.
What is the global pattern of the shipbuilding industry? Is China State Shipbuilding Corporation choosing to carry out major asset restructuring at this time point in order to cope with the major cyclical explosion in the shipbuilding industry? Do domestic shipbuilding enterprises have made arrangements for high-end ships? How can they strengthen technological progress? Dr. Wang Xin, a global partner and President of Greater China at Frost & Sullivan (Frost & Sullivan, abbreviated as: Frost & Sullivan), was interviewed by Securities Daily, discussing the future development path of China's shipbuilding industry from the perspective of the major asset restructuring of 'China's Divine Ships'.
The major asset restructuring of 'China's Divine Ship' has kicked off.
On December 29, CSSC Technology Group Co., Ltd., a listed company under China State Shipbuilding Corporation, and CSSC Power Co., Ltd. respectively issued announcements on major asset restructuring. CSSC Power announced that in order to standardize the competition among diesel engine businesses under China State Shipbuilding Corporation, the company plans to jointly invest with CSSC Industry Group and CSSC Shipbuilding to establish a joint venture. After the completion of this transaction, CSSC Power will hold a controlling stake in the joint venture; CSSC Technology Group issued an announcement stating that the company plans to issue shares to acquire part or all of the equity of CSSC Marine Equipment, CSSC Wind Power Development, Xinjiang Haiwei, Luoyang Shuangrui, and Lingjiu Electric, and also plans to raise supporting funds.
With the disclosure of the aforementioned announcement, on that day, stocks in the CSSC group opened higher, among which CSSC HanGuang rose by 12%, closing at 18.29 yuan per share. China Coastal Defense Group hit the daily limit up, with CSSC Emergency Response Group surging by more than 7%. Zhongyongyang, China Power, CSSC Marine Engineering & Technology, and others followed suit.
Pan Helin, Executive Dean of the Digital Economy Research Institute at Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, said in an interview with a reporter from Securities Daily, "This asset restructuring is an optimization and integration of internal operations by CSSC. For example, the offshore wind business has been incorporated into CSSC Technology, and the oil rig business has been moved into China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOC). This promotes subsidiaries to focus on their main businesses, enabling them to concentrate their efforts on developing their core competencies, making business operations more focused, achieving larger-scale integration, and enhancing the company's global competitiveness."
Hu Qimu, chief researcher at the China Iron and Steel Economic Research Institute, said in an interview with a reporter from Securities Daily, "After the merger of CSSC and CRRC, internal business integration is a very urgent task. The realization of synergies is not simply about adding up scales, but about optimizing the structure through specialized integration to enhance advantages, share resources, and achieve ecological synergy."
Hu Qimu told the Securities Daily reporter, 'The restructuring of listed companies under China State Shipbuilding Corporation is just a step in internal business integration, indicating that the group's integration efforts will be gradually implemented.'
Focus on core business to enhance market competitiveness
Looking back at 2019, in order to deepen the reform of state-owned enterprises and further focus on the main business of ships, CSSC (China State Shipbuilding Corporation) and CSIC (China State Shipbuilding Heavy Industry Corporation), which are part of the same group, implemented a joint restructuring. On November 26th of that year, they held their founding meeting in Beijing, establishing China State Shipbuilding Group. For a time, the news of the birth of 'China's Divine Ship' spread throughout the market.
On July 1, 2021, nine listed companies under China State Shipbuilding Corporation (CSSC) collectively issued an announcement. CSSC obtained 100% equity of CSSCIC and CSSC Heavy Industry Corporation through the gratuitous transfer of state-owned shares, thereby becoming the actual controller of the nine listed companies. This has officially put forward the agenda for CSSC to resolve the issue of horizontal competition among its listed companies.
According to the announcement released by China Power this time, in order to further regulate the competition among diesel engine businesses under CSSC Group, the company plans to jointly invest with CSSC Industry Group and CSSC Shipbuilding to establish a joint venture. The target assets for investment are the shares held by all parties involved in the transaction, namely CSSC Power, CSSC Marine Diesel, Shaanxi Diesel Heavy Industry, and Hebei Diesel Heavy Industry.
China Power stated that after the completion of this transaction, it will hold a controlling stake in the joint venture.
Zhang Linxiang, a staff member of the Power Securities Department of China, told the Securities Daily reporter, 'From a regulatory perspective, this asset restructuring is conducive to solving the problem of inter-industry competition. From a business development standpoint, after this restructuring, the diesel engine business has been further coordinated and developed, reducing internal competition and enhancing the company's bargaining power and market voice. In addition, low-speed engines are mainly used on large ocean-going ships. With the recovery of the shipbuilding industry this year and riding on the wave of the industry's momentum, the company's business is expected to see further development.'
CSIC Technology announced on the same day that its indirect controlling shareholder, CSSC Group, is currently planning major matters related to the company. The matter is expected to involve issuing shares to acquire 100% equity of CSSC Offshore Container Containers Co., Ltd., 88.58% equity of CSSC Wind Power Development Co., Ltd., 100% equity of Xinjiang Haiwei Co., Ltd., a minority stake of 44.64% in Luoyang Shuangrui Co., Ltd., and a minority stake of 10% in Lingjiu Electric Co., Ltd., as well as plans to raise matching funds.
Hu Qimu told reporters, 'This asset restructuring will inject wind power assets and diesel engine assets into two specialized companies respectively. In fact, it is about creating two major professional operation platforms for wind power and diesel engines. This is conducive to the specialized integration of resources such as R&D, production, and channels in these business chains, focusing on the main business to enhance market competitiveness.'
On December 29th, CSSC issued a notice stating that CSSC Group Co., Ltd. is planning the merger of CSSC Industry Corporation Limited, CSSC Industry Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as 'CSSC') with CSSC Heavy Industry Group Power Co., Ltd.
In response, someone familiar with the company told the Securities Daily reporter that this restructuring will further highlight the main responsibilities and businesses, and promote high-quality development.
Search for breakthroughs in the high-end ship sector
With the integration and development of China State Shipbuilding Corporation, China's shipbuilding industry has been making visible progress towards high-precision and advanced fields at an accelerating pace, moving towards the goal of becoming a strong shipbuilding nation from a major shipbuilder.
Judging from the public data, In the first half of this year, China's international market share in three major shipbuilding indicators remained above 40%. The volume of completed shipyards, new orders received, and on-hand orders accounted for 44.9%, 51.0%, and 45.8% of the world total respectively, measured by deadweight tonnage. Meanwhile, the global shipbuilding industry is structured with China, Japan, and South Korea standing in a tripartite confrontation, and the trend towards a split between China and South Korea is becoming increasingly evident.
According to data from the Shipbuilding Industry Association, from January to November this year, the country's shipbuilding completed 35.88 million deadweight tons, a year-on-year increase of 7.9%. It received new ship orders worth 63.64 million deadweight tons, a year-on-year increase of 182.6%. By the end of November, there were 96.39 million deadweight tons in hand, a year-on-year increase of 35.9%.
According to the financial data disclosed by CSSC from January to September this year, the group's operating revenue, new contracts received, total industrial output value, net profit, and total profit increased by 9.3%, 34.5%, 12.3%, 26.1%, and 22.9% year-on-year respectively, laying a solid foundation for achieving the annual target tasks. The operation of the shipbuilding and maritime industry has continuously made new breakthroughs, with its international market share remaining at the top among global shipbuilding groups.
Is the choice by China State Shipbuilding Corporation to carry out major asset restructuring at this time point in order to cope with a major outbreak of the cyclical boom in the shipbuilding industry?
Hu Qimu said, 'The focus of the major asset restructuring of CSSC this time is on power generation, which is actually about industrial upgrading rather than capacity expansion.'
"From an industry perspective, in 2020, there were approximately 400 shipyards globally. The world's shipbuilding industry generally maintained a competitive landscape of 'three giants' (China, South Korea, and Japan), while Europe and America still possess advantages in the construction of military ships and luxury cruise ships. Vertically, the global shipbuilding industry has been deeply integrated, with frequent emergence of shipbuilding giants. With the deep integration of new-generation information and communication technology with shipbuilding technology, the influence of labor costs on the transfer of the shipbuilding industry has relatively weakened, and the importance of technical factors has become increasingly prominent." Wang Xin, Global Partner at Frost & Sullivan and President of Greater China, told the Securities Daily, "In recent years, our country has continuously made progress in high-end ship types. The first large luxury cruise ship has started construction at Waigaoqiao Shipyard, and Hudong Zhonghua has also signed an order for a large LNG vessel worth 20 billion yuan. In the future, it is expected that China and South Korea will continue to engage in fierce competition around high-end ship types."
Wang Xin told reporters, 'With the deep integration of information technology and manufacturing, and as international maritime affairs put forward higher requirements for ship environmental protection, shipbuilding will develop towards greener and more intelligent products and a higher-end product structure. High-tech and high-value-added ships need to rapidly improve the design and construction levels of LNG ships, large LPG ships, and other products, creating high-end brands; break through technical difficulties in the design and construction of luxury cruise ships; and actively carry out research and development of Arctic new shipping routes ships, new energy ships, etc.'
" In the future, we should fully rely on local talent policies to attract high-quality talents from home and abroad, encourage industry-academia integration, and apply what has been learned. At the same time, we must continuously strengthen industrial layout adjustments, promote rational resource allocation, drive the development of the entire industrial chain, continue to deepen reforms, optimize the industrial structure, and enhance independent innovation capabilities. " Wang Xin said."
In addition to continuously advancing asset integration, CSSC is also implementing asset securitization within the three-year action plan for state-owned enterprise reform.
As CSSC Technology, a listed company under China State Shipbuilding Corporation, plans to issue shares to acquire partial or all equity of CSSC Marine Engineering, CSSC Wind Power Development, Xinjiang Haiwei, Luoyang Shuangrui, and Lingjiu Electric, as well as raise matching funds, the asset securitization of CSSC Corporation has taken an important step forward.
The 'Three-Year Action Plan for State-Owned Enterprise Reform (2020-2022)' proposes that state-owned enterprises should become market entities with core competitiveness. The mixed reform, restructuring and integration of state-owned enterprises, as well as the reform of the state-owned asset supervision system, will enter a new stage of rapid and substantial progress, with more than 70% of the total tasks completed by the end of 2021.
Chen Dingru, an analyst at Zhongtai Securities, said that the 'Three-Year Action Plan for State-Owned Enterprise Reform' is about to enter a critical year, and reform dividends are expected to be released more rapidly. The mixed-ownership reform of state-owned military enterprises is an important part of state-owned enterprise reform.
*This article is reprinted from 'Securities Daily', with reporters Jiao Yue, Shi Lu, and Zhang Xiaoyu. The original title was 'The Integration of 'China's Divine Ship' Breaks Ice, with Listed Companies Under It Taking the Lead in Reorganizing'.
MEDIA COVERAGE
2022/01/01
CGTN | Dr. Wang Xin: The Arrival of RCEP May Assist in the Upgrading and Transformation of China's Manufacturing Industry
CGTN | Dr. Wang Xin: The Arrival of RCEP May Assist in the Upgrading and Transformation of China's Manufacturing Industry
Frost & Sullivan insights
According to Xinhua News Agency, a recent executive meeting of the State Council was held to determine cross-cycle adjustment measures to promote stable foreign trade development; arrangements were made for the implementation of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (RCEP) after its entry into force. The meeting pointed out that through the joint efforts of relevant international and domestic parties, the RCEP will officially come into effect on January 1, 2022. It is necessary to support enterprises to seize the opportunity of the agreement's implementation, enhance their competitiveness in the international market, further improve the level of trade and investment development, and force domestic industrial upgrading. On December 23, 2021, Gao Feng, spokesperson for the Ministry of Commerce, stated at a regular press conference that all preparatory work for the domestic implementation of the RCEP has been completed.
How to interpret China's formal accession to the RCEP? Which industries in China will benefit from the RCEP? After joining the RCEP, what changes are predicted to occur in China's global industrial chain layout? What impact does the RCEP have on China's foreign trade? How does the RCEP guide client enterprises to benefit from tariff reductions and find new opportunities? Dr. Wang Xin, a global partner at Frost & Sullivan (Frost & Sullivan, abbreviated as "Frost & Sullivan") and President of Greater China, recently spoke with the CGTN Global Business program of China International Television about his views on China's accession to the RCEP.
CGTN China International Television Station
Reporter: What is Frost & Sullivan's interpretation of China's accession to the RCEP on January 1 st ?
Reporter: What is Frost & Sullivan's interpretation of China's official accession to the RCEP on January 1?
Neil Wang, Dr. of Economics, Nanyang Technological University: Thank you for your question. There is no doubt that the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) is important for Asia's regional economic integration and will drive the global economy closely around Asia, Europe, and North America. We believe that China's participation in the RCEP can promote China's international trade and outbound investment in many ways. By leveraging the closed-loop value chain in the RCEP region, we can achieve technological advancement, market integration, and industrial chain upgrading. This will reduce China's trade dependence on the United States and Europe and help further elevate China's international status.
Dr. Wang Xin: Thank you for your question. Undoubtedly, the RCEP is of great significance to the economic integration of the Asian region and will drive the global economy closely centered around Asia, Europe, and North America. We believe that China's accession to the RCEP can promote international trade and foreign investment in various aspects. By utilizing the closed-loop value chain within the RCEP region, it can achieve technological upgrading, market integration, and industrial chain upgrading. This will reduce China's trade dependence on the United States and Europe and help further enhance China's international status.
Reporter: In your opinion, which industries in China will benefit from RCEP?
Reporter: In your opinion, which industries in China will benefit from the RCEP agreement?
Neil Wang, PhD: To promote the upgrading of China's high-end manufacturing industry and enhance China's position in the global supply chain.
Dr. Wang Xin: Promote the industrial upgrading of China's high-end manufacturing industry and enhance China's position in the global supply chain.
The RCEP will help upgrade China's manufacturing industry by improving the quality standards of Chinese products and driving higher-quality development in the economy. The agreement covers international trade and competition, market openness, intellectual property rights, e-commerce, and other aspects. From the perspectives of investment protection, freedom, and convenience, it will have a systematic and comprehensive impact on our foreign trade and investment development. With the upgrade in China's industrial structure and the enhancement of mid-to-high-end manufacturing capabilities, China's manufacturing industry will gradually shift to high-tech, high-value-added activities in the international division of labor. The RCEP will guide and refine the regional trade division of labor, which is conducive to the extension of China's industrial chain and the upgrading of its value chain.
The RCEP will help upgrade China's manufacturing industry, improve the quality standards of Chinese products, and promote high-quality development of the Chinese economy. The RCEP agreement covers multiple aspects such as international trade and competition, market opening, intellectual property rights, e-commerce, etc., and will have a systematic comprehensive impact on the development of China's foreign trade and investment from perspectives such as investment protection, freedom, and facilitation. With the upgrading of China's industrial structure and the enhancement of the strength of mid- to high-end manufacturing, China's manufacturing industry will gradually shift towards high technology and high added value in the international division of labor. The RCEP will guide and refine regional trade division of labor, which is conducive to the extension of China's industrial chain and the improvement of its value chain.
Reporter: What changes do you expect to happen to China's position in the global industrial chain layout after joining the RCEP?
Reporter: After joining the RCEP, what changes do you predict will occur to China's position in the global industrial chain layout?
Neil Wang, PhD: China will take advantage of the RCEP to promote regional economic integration and global economic and trade cooperation.
Dr. Wang Xin: China will leverage the RCEP to advance regional economic integration and global economic and trade cooperation.
The signing of the RCEP Agreement means that tariffs, tariff barriers, and other trade restrictions of regional member countries will be significantly reduced; trade terms will be fair, reasonable, and transparent, promoting rapid circulation of factors in the region, free and convenient trade and investment, and closer cooperation between industrial chains and supply chains. This is conducive to further expanding China's import and export trade, as well as promoting regional economic integration.
The signing of the RCEP means that tariffs, tariff barriers, and other trade restrictions among member countries within the region will be significantly reduced; trade terms will become more fair, reasonable, and transparent. This will promote rapid factor flow within the region, free and convenient trade and investment, closer cooperation in industrial chains and supply chains, which is conducive to China's further expansion of import and export trade and the integration of regional economies.
Among the 15 RCEP countries, China is the absolute leader in terms of population and GDP, thus placing it in a key position in the value chain cooperation across the entire RCEP region. China has developed a technological lead, and with the labor advantage of ASEAN countries and the natural resources of Australia and New Zealand, a 'world factory' led by China is being formed at an accelerating pace. Multinational companies will prefer to locate their industrial chains in the RCEP region, and China's important position in the global industrial chain pattern will be further consolidated.
Among the RCEP 15 countries, China is definitely leading in terms of population and GDP. Therefore, China holds a key position in value chain cooperation across the entire RCEP region. China has already formed a technological leadership advantage. Leveraging the labor advantages of ASEAN countries and the natural resources of New Australia, a 'world factory' led by China is accelerating its formation. Multinational companies tend to locate their industrial chains in the RCEP region, further consolidating China's important position in the global industrial chain pattern.
Reporter: What are the impacts that foreign trade has brought to China?
Reporter: What impact does the RCEP have on China's foreign trade?
Neil Wang, PhD: From the perspective of foreign relations, the RCEP is conducive to promoting economic and trade cooperation among China, Japan and South Korea, easing trade tensions between China and the US, and reducing dependence on the US.
Dr. Wang Xin: From the perspective of foreign relations, the RCEP agreement is conducive to promoting economic and trade cooperation among China, Japan, and South Korea, alleviating Sino-US trade frictions, and reducing dependence on the US.
Among the 15 countries of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), China, Japan, and South Korea account for approximately 80% of the total economic value. It is expected that cooperation among these three countries will be further improved under the framework of the agreement. Firstly, the RCEP is the first free trade agreement among China, Japan, and South Korea. Over the past decade, the overall trade volume of the three countries fluctuated due to trade frictions between China and the United States. The signing of the RCEP agreement is conducive to promoting smoother and steadier trade among China, Japan, and South Korea. Secondly, increased trade cooperation among the three countries will assist China's trade diversion. While stimulating China's trade and economic growth, the cooperation may reduce China's dependence on the US market, making China more proactive and favorable in Sino-US trade relations to compensate for the reduction in China's foreign trade caused by the friction between the US and China.
Among the RCEP 15 countries, the economies of China, Japan, and South Korea account for about 80%. Under the framework of the agreement, cooperation among these three countries is expected to deepen further. Firstly, RCEP represents the first time that China, Japan, and South Korea have reached a free trade agreement. In the past decade, affected by Sino-US trade frictions, the overall trade volume of the three countries has fluctuated significantly. The signing of the RCEP agreement is conducive to promoting smoother and more stable trade between China, Japan, and South Korea. Secondly, increased trade cooperation among China, Japan, and South Korea will assist in the transfer of China's foreign trade. While promoting China's trade and economic growth, it can help reduce China's dependence on the US market, enabling China to gain more initiative in Sino-US trade relations and compensate for the reduction in China's foreign trade caused by Sino-US trade frictions.
Overall, I believe that the RCEP can make China's existing international supply chain more stable and enhance China's ability to withstand risks, which will have positive effects on China's economic development, security, and stability. At the same time, when each member country can fully leverage its own advantages in factors of production, the RCEP will effectively empower the development of intra-Asia trade cooperation. By adjusting the layout of foreign trade and investment and optimizing resource allocation, member countries will strengthen the critical position of East Asia in the global economy. Thank you.
Overall, we believe that through the RCEP, China's existing international supply chain cooperation can be made more stable, enhancing its ability to resist risks and thus having a positive impact on China's economic development, security, and stability. At the same time, the RCEP will effectively empower trade collaboration within the Asian region. Each contracting party can fully leverage its production factor advantages, optimize resource allocation by adjusting foreign trade and investment layouts, and enhance the key position of East Asian economies in the global economy. Thank you.
Reporter: "Thank you very much, Dr. Neil. You have just provided a comprehensive and in-depth explanation from a macro perspective. In fact, we are also very interested in the benefits of RCEP for the development of Chinese companies. Could you please discuss 'how can RCEP guide our corporate clients to benefit and explore new opportunities from tariff reduction'?"
Reporter: Thank you very much, Dr. Wang. You have just provided a comprehensive and in-depth interpretation from a macro perspective. In fact, we are also very concerned about the benefits that RCEP can bring to the development of Chinese enterprises. Could you please focus on how 'RCEP guides customer enterprises to benefit from tariff reductions and find new opportunities?'
Neil Wang: The RCEP's 'tariff-free' policy will bring huge development opportunities to Chinese enterprises in various industries.
Dr. Wang Xin: The RCEP 'zero tariffs' will bring tremendous development opportunities to enterprises in various industries across China.
The RCEP 'tariff-free' refers to the eventual achievement of zero tariffs on over 90% of the goods traded in the RCEP region once the agreement comes into effect, with immediate zero tariffs on some goods or zero tariffs for others within ten years. The introduction of this policy means that member countries will liberalize trade in goods in a short period of time. This enables beneficiary enterprises to significantly reduce production and investment costs, expand markets, and improve competitiveness globally.
RCEP 'zero tariffs' mean that after the agreement comes into effect, over 90% of the goods traded within the region will eventually achieve zero tariffs, with some immediately reduced to zero and others within ten years. The implementation of this policy signifies that contracting parties will liberalize trade in goods in a relatively short period, which will help reduce production and investment costs for our enterprises, expand market space, and enhance their international competitiveness.
In terms of imports, 'tariff-free' helps enterprises expand their procurement scale of raw materials, automotive, electronics, and other components at much lower costs, better meeting domestic market demands for consumer upgrading, cost reduction, efficiency improvement, and supply chain optimization.
From an import perspective, 'zero tariffs' help enterprises expand their procurement of raw materials, auto parts, electronic components, and other parts at lower costs, better meeting domestic market needs for consumer upgrading, reducing costs and increasing efficiency for enterprises, and optimizing the supply chain ecosystem.
Regarding exports, the 'tariff-free' policy will significantly reduce product prices, promoting more Chinese products to be marketed internationally and removing many challenges for enterprises in international markets. Especially for products with export advantages, 'zero tariffs' enable Chinese enterprises to enhance their competitiveness in global markets and replace market shares of non-member countries, leading to further export expansion.
From an export perspective, the 'zero tariffs' policy will significantly lower product prices, promote more Chinese products into international markets, and eliminate many challenges for enterprises in international markets. Especially for products with export advantages, 'zero tariffs' will enable Chinese enterprises to enhance their competitiveness in global markets, replace market shares of non-member countries, and further expand exports.
In addition, the RCEP cumulative rules of origin are very beneficial for small and medium-sized enterprise exports. It stipulates that when goods are exported to any RCEP member country, all intermediate goods and accessories from any RCEP country can be included in the value-added percentage of the origin to meet the regional value content requirement of 40%. This makes it easier for businesses to meet RCEP origin requirements, which may enhance the flexibility and autonomy of industry chain layout. Therefore, 'zero tariffs' bring optimization of supply chains, enhancement of market discourse, and expansion of global influence for Chinese enterprises with broader development space.
Furthermore, the RCEP cumulative rules of origin are highly advantageous for small and medium-sized enterprise exports. It stipulates that when goods are exported to any RCEP member country, intermediate goods and accessories from any RCEP country can be incorporated into the value-added percentage of the origin to meet the final export product's value-added requirement of 40%, significantly lowering the threshold for benefiting from these rules and enhancing the flexibility and autonomy of industry chain layout. Therefore, 'zero tariffs' provide a broad development space for Chinese enterprises to optimize their supply chains, enhance their market discourse, and expand their global influence.
COMPANY NEWS
2021/12/30
Frost & Sullivan attends Huawei Cloud & Huawei Terminal Cloud Innovation Summit – Entertainment and Social Networking Summit
Frost & Sullivan attends Huawei Cloud & Huawei Terminal Cloud Innovation Summit – Entertainment and Social Networking Summit
Cloud collaboration to create new cloud value
“Cloud collaboration to create new cloud value” —— The Huawei Cloud and Huawei Terminal Cloud Service Innovation Summit 2022 was grandly held in Beijing. During the conference, a “Media and Social Industry Summit Forum” themed “New Media and Entertainment, New Experiences, New Opportunities” was held on the morning of December 29th for the entertainment and social industry. Guests from the fields of internet culture, entertainment, social networking, media, etc., gathered together to look ahead to the future of the media and social industry. Mr. Guo Ming, Executive Director of Frost & Sullivan's Greater China region, was invited to attend the event and delivered a keynote speech titled “Trends and Development in the 2022 Media and Social Industry.”
In the past 20 years, the internet has profoundly changed people's work and life, shaping a new pattern for global economic development, but this is just the beginning of the digital wave. Internet companies at the forefront of digital innovation face the challenge of seizing development opportunities in the trend of the next-generation internet and achieving higher-quality growth. This has become an important proposition shared by enterprise managers, industry experts, and policymakers. This summit invited representatives from Huawei Cloud and industry consulting firm — Frost & Sullivan, as well as guests from the internet media and social industry, for in-depth discussions and sharing.
Mr. Lü Yangming, President of Huawei Cloud's Media Services
Mr. Lü Yangming, President of Huawei Cloud's Media Services, delivered an opening speech, stating: The internet is entering a space video era characterized by immersion, personalization, and real-time interaction. Huawei Cloud MetaStudio uses cloud-native media services such as audio and video, AI, blockchain, etc., to better empower culture, enhancing the “content power” and realizing “everything is a service”!
Mr. Lu Zhenyu, General Manager of Huawei Cloud's Video Services
Mr. Lu Zhenyu, General Manager of Huawei Cloud's Video Services, also said: Huawei Cloud MetaStudio uses one MetaStudio solution that includes two major engines for graphics and space, a communication collaboration platform, a full-scenario media AI platform, and an NFT-based content management platform as its three major platforms, practicing technology as a service, making continuous innovation in the media and social industry within reach. At the same time, the cloud collaboration between Huawei Cloud and Huawei Terminal Cloud also brings the possibility of 1+1 > 2 for high-value growth of enterprises.
Mr. Guo Ming, Executive Director of Frost & Sullivan's Greater China region
Mr. Guo Ming, Executive Director of Frost & Sullivan's Greater China region, was invited to share insights and trends in the entertainment industry in 2022.
Firstly, Mr. Guo Ming shared four overall trends observed by Frost & Sullivan in the Chinese media and social industry in recent years: entertainment videoization, media socialization, image virtualization, and audit intelligence.
(1) Entertainment Videoization
Compared to traditional picture, voice, and text communication, videos carry higher-dimensional information density, are more real-time and interactive, and can fully enhance content interest and mobilize users' fragmented time.
Data shows that short videos and live broadcasts have become internet products with the most significant increase in user usage duration; as of 2021, the scale of short video users in China reached 873 million, astonishingly accounting for 88.3% of the total 989 million netizens; while the scale of online live broadcast users in China has currently exceeded 630 million, accounting for nearly 65% of the total.
The integration of the short video and live broadcast industries with multiple industries continues to deepen, the dissemination scenarios are expanding, and the dividend period is still worth looking forward to; related technologies such as edge cloud, AI, cloud rendering, CDN, etc., support the realization of such intelligent, real-time, and high-quality interactions.
(2) Media Socialization
Today's new media dissemination models have undergone profound changes, and interpersonal relationship networks are regarded as an important infrastructure for mass information dissemination.
The innovative integration of technologies such as positioning, big data, and AI can enable users to obtain full-scenario, mobileized information services (such as real-time weather forecasts, sports event reminders, etc.), and also boost the closed-loop of “online localization search + offline service”. Under a unified account system, users' search preferences can be more easily inherited across terminals.
(3) Image Virtualization
Whether in the domestic game production field or film and television shooting field, virtual shooting and production at the person, unit, and even scene levels have gradually entered the stage of large-scale application; currently, the precision of a certain leading domestic content producer has reached the centimeter level; if digital assets can reach millimeter-level precision, entering a virtual shooting platform is like going to Hengdian to shoot movies, and the shooting effect will be more realistic. In this process, cloud vendors provide cost-effective cloud computing power and cloud rendering capabilities to accelerate the virtualization process.
(4) Audit Intelligence
Nowadays, everyone is in an era of “everyone is an author”, and social news platforms generate massive amounts of information every day. Relying on manual audit not only has low efficiency but also difficult costs to bear.
Against this background, intelligent AI audit capabilities allow for custom settings, extremely high flexibility, and can specifically detect infringement, pornographic content, violence, political violations, and other multimedia information. The results after AI audit can be reviewed by auditors, greatly achieving cost reduction and efficiency improvement.
Subsequently, Mr. Guo Ming shared his insights into the three industry segments of social news, audio and video, and electronic games.
He said that in the social news industry, the main pain points faced by the business are: (1) insufficient resource elasticity, (2) mismatched AI capabilities, inability to fully tap the commercial value of information, (3) stricter content review and supervision, and non-compliance risks. The most obvious trends are (1) diversification of content and channels, (2) refinement and socialization of information, (3) multi-dimensional innovation of business forms.
Mr. Guo Ming pointed out that cloud services and related technologies have greatly empowered domestic leading media social platforms. For example, Sina News uses container technology provided by cloud vendors, enabling the system architecture to quickly allocate computing resources when breaking news arrives, rapidly expanding the cluster to 8000 cores within 30 seconds, and easily handling traffic peaks. Meitu XiuXiu uses cloud storage and computing separation and heterogeneous computing solutions, increasing the overall utilization rate of Meitu's computing and storage resources by 40%, achieving cost reduction while obtaining elastic scaling capabilities.
Regarding the audio and video field, Mr. Guo Ming said that for a long time, the pain points of the business have included: (1) various experience problems such as lag, latency, echo, etc., (2) high development costs of audio and video, (3) lack of innovation and experience upgrades in video content.
However, with the acceleration of 5G and the deep integration of fields such as cloud computing and artificial intelligence, the development potential of the audio and video industry is infinite. Technological innovation in the new stage will play an even more important role, and the audio and video industry will make a qualitative leap, specifically reflected in three aspects: high definition, strong interaction, and intelligence.
In the audio and video field, the empowerment of game/entertainment live broadcast platforms by cloud vendors is mainly reflected in improving interactive experience, accurately identifying illegal content, and efficiently conducting operational analysis; while for internet video resource platforms, the empowerment of cloud vendors is mainly reflected in ultra-high-definition video production and broadcasting, optimization of content aggregation processes, etc. Generally speaking, cloud-based technology and services have brought about changes in production, processing, and distribution models for partners in the audio and video field.
Speaking of the electronic game field, Mr. Guo Ming analyzed the business pain points from both the production and consumption sides. The domestic game industry generally faces pain points in the production side such as resource elasticity requirements (i.e., different development and testing stages have different network bandwidth, CPU, memory, disk capacity, etc.), business peak periods, traffic stability, security protection, etc.; while on the consumption side, players face pain points such as time-consuming and laborious downloads, inability to cross-platform play, insufficient terminal computing power, high costs, which greatly affect player experience and are not conducive to the growth of the number of game players.
“With the development and popularization of high-speed networks such as 5G and optical fiber, games will accelerate convergence from the terminal side to the cloud, accelerating streaming; 5G cloud gaming will become an inevitable trend in the game industry. Players are expected to be able to play AAA games anytime, anywhere using any device, and this trend will effectively boost the output value of the domestic game industry within the next few years; at the same time, the use of game subscription models is also expected to replace the traditional pay-as-you-go model.” Mr. Guo Ming said.
Finally, Mr. Guo Ming said that more and more game companies are adopting one-stop cloud service solutions provided by cloud vendors. Relying on the overall collaborative optimization of “cloud-network-edge-terminal-AI”, cloud vendors empower industry customers to achieve goals such as improving development cost-effectiveness, reducing rendering costs and efficiency, and upgrading protection.
Looking ahead to 2022, Frost & Sullivan hopes to see domestic leading cloud vendors relying on software-hardware collaboration and “cloud-cloud collaboration” to provide partners in the media and social industry with ultra-high-definition, low-latency, and strong interactive media capabilities covering content production, distribution, and application. Together, they will bring a new “blue ocean” to the domestic media and social industry.
COMPANY NEWS
2021/12/22
Frost & Sullivan attends the 4th Phase of the Market North High-Tech Assistance in Science and Technology Innovation Investment and Financing Roadshow Matching Event in 2021
Frost & Sullivan attends the 4th Phase of the Market North High-Tech Assistance in Science and Technology Innovation Investment and Financing Roadshow Matching Event in 2021
Intelligent Cloud, Seeing the Future
To further deepen the service model that supports scientific and technological innovation, taking investment and financing matchmaking services as a starting point to promote close interaction between capital and industries, on December 22, 2021, the fourth phase of the “Intelligent Cloud, Seeing the Future” - 2021 Municipal High-tech Zone's Plan for Supporting Scientific and Technological Innovation - “Precise Investment and Financing Roadshow Matching Session ” - Special Session on Intelligent Cloud Services, hosted by Shanghai North High-tech Service Park and organized by the Municipal High-tech Zone's Alliance for Supporting Scientific and Technological Innovation, was successfully held. Frost & Sullivan (hereinafter referred to as “Frost & Sullivan&rdquo) consulting analyst Zhang Shouyu was invited to participate in the event and delivered a speech on enterprise intelligent cloud services.
Zhang Shouyu stated that the Chinese internet market is gradually transitioning from a consumer-oriented To C end market to an enterprise-level B end market. China's huge netizen dividend over the past few years has been an inherent advantage for the development of To C internet, leading to the emergence of giants such as Tencent, Baidu, JD.com, and Meituan in the To C internet sector over the past 20+ years. However, with the gradual disappearance of the netizen dividend, the internet industry has shifted from an incremental market to a stock market, making it increasingly difficult to start and break through in the To C field. Therefore, due to the ceiling effect of the To C internet market and the completion of many IT infrastructure under the development of emerging technologies, the enterprise-level service market has seen an opportunity for explosive growth.
Frost & Sullivan research found that enterprise-level SaaS services began after 200 years of industrialization and 20 years of informatization in Europe and America. Customers are relatively mature, and since the dividends from rapid economic development in Europe and America have largely run out, improving management efficiency has become a necessity. As a result, enterprise customers have a higher willingness, ability, and awareness to pay. Compared to the United States, although the starting point of the Chinese enterprise service market is lower, the Chinese market has a higher economic growth rate, a larger base of enterprise customers, and is in an era of efficiency improvement and capacity upgrade. Coupled with the promotion of supply-side optimization reform policies, Chinese enterprise services have achieved a development speed that allows them to build from scratch. Data shows that China's digital economy reached 39.2 trillion yuan in 2020, accounting for more than 38% of GDP, and enterprises' expenditures on digital transformation are continuously increasing, with IT spending expected to reach 3.4 trillion yuan by 2025. “China's industrialization took 40 years to catch up with the 200-year development of American industrialization. We believe that under the premise of China's huge market demand and complete infrastructure, China has the ability to catch up with the 40-year informatization development of the United States in just 10 years,” said Zhang Shouyu.
In addition, looking at the overall development of public cloud markets in China and the United States, the US market started in 2005, reaching a scale of $5 billion in 2011. In just six years, the entire market size experienced explosive growth, reaching $40 billion in 2017. The Chinese public cloud market started in 2009, developing to $5 billion in 2018, and is expected to reach $400 billion by 2022. The gap between the overall cloud computing markets in China and the United States is gradually narrowing, especially the rapid development of China's IaaS market, which provides a good foundation for the application and popularization of downstream SaaS services.
Zhang Shouyu pointed out that in the enterprise-level SaaS market, SaaS products can achieve higher valuation levels by using lower marginal costs, sustainable monetization models, and product characteristics closer to market development. SaaS products include upfront one-time fees and subsequent recurring fees. Enterprises with an upfront revenue bias have lower profit risks, shorter investor return cycles, and better approval of IT budgets for their customers. Enterprises with a later revenue bias have lower payment psychological thresholds for their customers, more accurate grasp of user pain points, better sustainable development capabilities, and better estimates of future profitability for their products.
Finally, in terms of industry applications, Zhang Shouyu made brief analyses using human resource SaaS (HR SaaS) and intelligent operations as examples. HR SaaS refers to software used to digitize and automate human resource functions within organizations. Compared to traditional software, HR SaaS can effectively help enterprises solve many pain points in human resource management and improve efficiency. In the future, HR SaaS will show a trend of horizontal integration, centered around integrated HR SaaS software, establishing close connections with customers and partners based on PaaS platforms and technologies such as AI, BI, and big data, forming an HR SaaS ecosystem. Another application - intelligent operations - refers to the application of artificial intelligence in the field of operations. Based on existing operation data (logs, monitoring information, application information, etc.), it further solves problems that automation operations cannot solve through machine learning. The surge in data volume brings huge industrial opportunities for intelligent operations. The deep coupling between intelligent operations and cloud computing can further liberate IT productivity for enterprises, and full-linkage, integrated intelligent operations will be the main trend in the future.
To accelerate the listing process of scientific and technological innovation enterprises and create a good capital service ecosystem that supports enterprise innovation, Municipal High-tech Zone, in collaboration with several leading financial institutions, established the “Municipal High-tech Zone's Plan for Supporting Scientific and Technological Innovation” in January 2019, aiming to build an IPO cultivation system for technology innovation enterprises through multi-dimensional capital empowerment and help them enter the capital market.
The COVID-19 pandemic has confirmed the value of cloudification, and enterprises and institutions have affirmed the cost-effectiveness and business continuity brought about by cloudification, accelerating their own digital business transformation. At the same time, cloud service enterprises are also paying more attention to providing diversified services, combining artificial intelligence and big data to provide efficient and comprehensive services for customers. Against this backdrop, the fourth phase of the “Precise Investment and Financing Roadshow Matching Session” of the Municipal High-tech Zone's Plan for Supporting Scientific and Technological Innovation focuses on intelligent cloud services. At the event site, Jingzhi Technology, Shenzhou Lingyun, and Cai Dao Cloud participated in project roadshows.
MEDIA COVERAGE
2021/12/17
Bloomberg's 'Brainstorm': Who Can Lead the Future of the New Tea Drink Industry
Bloomberg's 'Brainstorm': Who Can Lead the Future of the New Tea Drink Industry
Frost & Sullivan'
The new tea drink market is heating up, with both new and old players vying to enter the market. In this multi-billion-dollar arena, where many competitors compete for dominance, who can stand out? How can brands open up new growth spaces?
Recently, the 'Brainstorming' program of CBN invited representatives from new tea beverage suppliers, new tea beverage chain brands, consulting firms, and scholars and experts to discuss 'Who Will Lead the Future of the New Tea Beverage Industry'. Jia Pang, Partner and Managing Director of Frost & Sullivan's Greater China region, was specially invited as a commentator for the program.
"How popular is 'new tea drinks' now?" Following Nescafé's tea listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, becoming the first new tea drink stock, Momo Ice Cream has expanded its stores by 10,000 in a year. China Post has opened its own milk tea shop, Yoyao Tea, and after completing its latest round of financing, Xicha's valuation reached 60 billion yuan.
In recent years, with changes in consumer demand and technological iterations, 'new tea drinks' characterized by freshly brewed tea have become very popular among consumers. Starting from 2015, brands including Xicha, NESCAFÉ's teas, and Yidian have come into people's sight, and the term 'new tea drinks' has gradually gained momentum.
Data shows that the market size of new-style tea drinks in China was nearly 100 billion yuan in 2020, and it is expected that by 2030, the overall market size will exceed 200 billion yuan. In addition, new tea drinks are not only spreading across first- and second-tier cities but have also penetrated into third- and fourth-tier cities, becoming a daily beverage for 'townie youths'.
The 'China New Tea Drink Supply Chain White Paper 2022' points out that, under the strong attention and continuous influx of capital, new tea drinks have become one of the industries with the fastest consumer growth in recent years. When looking ahead to the future prospects of new tea drinks, many institutions have indicated that this is a high-growth track with a scale expected to exceed one hundred billion yuan in the future, and even leading players may have the opportunity to become industry giants rivaling Starbucks. What are the reasons for the continued popularity of new-style tea drinks? Has the rapid expansion of the industry also brought some hidden concerns? Who will lead the future of new tea drinks?
Highlights of this issue
1. What development opportunities have the rise of new tea drinks brought to upstream and downstream industries?
2. Homogeneous competition intensifies, so what will new tea drinks compete on in the second half?
3. Popular products are not common, so how can new tea drink brands seize the golden period of their best-selling products?
4. Food safety issues occur frequently. How can new tea drinks turn the biggest pain points in the industry chain into opportunities?
5. As new tea drinks go global, how can we create a 'Chinese Starbucks'?
Guests' wonderful views
New tea drinks
supplier representative
Huang Guohuang
Chairman of Fresh Holdings Co., Ltd.
Huang Guohuang believes that what people see is a cup of milk tea that has initiated a new trend in tea drinks. The novelty of the new tea drinks lies in the introduction of fruit teas, which has led to a demand for aesthetic appeal. This 'newness' is no longer just about whether it tastes good or not, but involves an evaluation of aesthetics, and further integration with internet or mobile transmission tools has resulted in a cultural phenomenon that encompasses the sensory aspect as understood today.
Zhang Yilin
Chairman of Zhelin Industry
Zhang Yilin stated that he started growing mangoes in 1991, from 100 acres to the current 60,000 acres. He believes that for a fruit grower, the most difficult part is 'perseverance.' In agriculture, this is the hardest aspect. Due to market reasons, it may be hard to sell early-season fruits as they are not tasty or priced high. On the supply chain of new tea drinks, persevering in maintaining the delicious taste is his most fundamental pursuit in growing mangoes.
New tea drinks
Chain Brand Representative
Xie Huancheng
Founder of 7 Minutes Sweet
Xie Huancheng believes that the technological content of the entire tea beverage industry will become increasingly high, and the threshold will also rise. Take food safety as an example; it has now progressed from planting to traceability to pesticide residue issues. Each batch must undergo random inspections before being distributed to various stores. For store food safety audits, a professional team runs around the stores every month. In addition, there are numerous supervisors who provide guidance to the stores daily.
Tan Zhiwen
Founder of Xuncha
Tan Zhiwen stated that the new tea drink can be broken down into two words: one is 'tea', and the other is 'drink'. The first half of the concept is about 'drink', which means a hit product. With faster launch, more ingredients, and better raw materials, stores are opening rapidly. However, while thinking about it, as everyone has more demands for tea drinks, whether it's health concerns or cultural pursuits, the second half of the concept should return to the essence of tea, becoming simpler, purer, and incorporating deeper cultural elements.
Zhandu
Former Cha Bai Dao Supervisor
Zhan Desu believes that the second half of the new tea-drinking trend should focus on diversification and DIY. As a post-90s individual, from the perspective of being at the forefront and representing consumers, the post-90s generation is a 'transferred affectionate lover' type. They may choose Chaobaidao today and 7 Points Sweet tomorrow. The more likely thought among the post-90s is that they can choose product combinations based on their own personality.
Guest Commentator
Jia & Pang
Partner and Managing Director, Greater China, Frost & Sullivan
Jia Pang stated that this year marks the first time in the new tea beverage industry that consumption demand has reached a scale of one hundred billion yuan. Frost & Sullivan also predicts that within the next three to five years, new tea beverages can maintain a level from one hundred billion to 150 billion yuan. Therefore, the current situation is definitely one of unsaturation in the new tea beverage market. It is also evident that consumers still maintain strong demand at the behavioral level of consumption needs. In fact, consumer frequency of consumption is still increasing, the unit price of consumption is rising, and there is a trend towards diversified consumption. However, it must not be denied that there are local saturation points in this industry.
Yu Mingyang
Dean of China Enterprise Development Research Institute
Yu Mingyang believes that a large number of new tea drinks are actually based on pearl milk tea, with milk, tea, and fruits as the core. This improvement in the industry not only meets the production side's requirements for products but also satisfies the demand side's needs. Due to the consumption characteristics represented by post-90s and Generation Z, which can be summarized into four sentences—high aesthetics, zero waiting time, minimal participation, and strong cleanliness preferences. Therefore, from the supply side to the consumer side, new tea drinks are products that meet the needs of consumption upgrading. Moreover, with further consumption upgrades in the future, there will be new reshuffling in this industry.
Comment by Chief Editor of CBN
Yang Yudong
Chief Editor of CBN
Yang Yudong stated that the new tea beverage market is currently very active because the Chinese market is huge, and capital has been invested heavily into this sector. To some extent, the consumption habits of young people have fueled the popularity of this market. However, due to the industry's current low technical content and lack of unified standards, it can be seen that even leading companies have not found a sustainable profit model. Therefore, regarding this industry, more investment and analysis should be made from the perspective of market laws to improve its technical content and competitive barriers.

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